Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited ₹2,261, price ₹897, upside +152.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹17.06 – ₹1,499 · fair‑value band ₹1,141 – ₹4,011 · the ₹896.70 price screens below the ₹2,261 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) currently trades at ₹896.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,261, implying the stock looks roughly 60.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹17,354 per share, and 16 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹896.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹907.13, and 0 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1,141 (bear) to ₹4,011 (bull), the price of ₹896.70 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited reported revenue of ₹4.2B in FY2025 versus ₹828M in FY2021, a compound +50.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹590M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹129M (≈ $1.3M) · EPS (TTM) ₹−2.37 · Dividend yield 6.7% · Net margin 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Free cash flow ₹612M · Net debt ₹3.9B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 152%, 531381 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,141Fair Value ₹2,261Bull ₹4,011
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+103.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+87.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+88.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+81.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 23%
2025 sits 277% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price.
Compare Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Real Estate Management & Development” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Real Estate · 1832 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2,261 versus a price of ₹896.70, about +152% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 531381?
Our model-based fair value for Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is ₹2,261 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹896.70.
What is the quality score of 531381?
Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2,261 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,141, optimistic scenario ₹4,011. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2,261, about +152% upside versus a price of ₹896.70 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,141, optimistic scenario ₹4,011. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited pay a dividend?
Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +49.4 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 531381 use?
Our models discount Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited grew +49.4 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.85 %: that much free cash flow Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited it is ₹2,261 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹896.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 531381 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹896.70, fair value ₹2,261, a gap of about +152% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 531381?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹896.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2,261). For Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited the two are ₹1,364 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited worth?
The market values Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited at about ₹129M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹896.70; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2,261 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 531381?
Our models span a range for Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,141, base ₹2,261, optimistic ₹4,011 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹896.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 531381 from its 52-week high?
Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited trades at ₹896.70, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹1,243 and 20% above the low of ₹745.90 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2,261 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CPI FIM SA, Welltower Inc, Equinix, Inc, American Tower Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹896.70, calculated fair value ₹2,261 (+152%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 531381 calculated?
We run Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2,261, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹896.70. Our model-based fair value is ₹2,261, about +152% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹1,141). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (₹1,141 to ₹4,011). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
The market capitalisation of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is ₹129M (≈ $1.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
Earnings per share at Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited are ₹−2.37. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
The dividend yield of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is 6.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
The net margin of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is 14.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited (531381) carry?
The net debt of Arihant Foundations & Housing Limited is ₹3.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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