Albatron Technology Co (5386) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 14.0B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 145.89 TWD to 97.26 TWD (−33.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (173.04 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (64.77 TWD to 173.04 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.94 TWD – 137,507 TWD · fair‑value band 64.77 TWD – 173.04 TWD · the 271.00 TWD price screens above the 97.26 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Albatron Technology Co (5386) currently trades at 271.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 97.26 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 64.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Albatron Technology Co generated revenue of 13.3B TWD at a net margin of 13.8%. It earns a return on equity of 118.0%. Net debt stands at 1.9B TWD. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 56.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 64.77 TWD (bear case) to 173.04 TWD (bull case); at 271.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 351% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -64%, 5386 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (208.20 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (5.57 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Albatron Technology Co., Ltd manufactures and sells memory modules, motherboards, graphics cards, and other electronic components and materials in Asia, North America, and internationally.
Full company description
Albatron Technology Co., Ltd manufactures and sells memory modules, motherboards, graphics cards, and other electronic components and materials in Asia, North America, and internationally. It also offers memory products; rack, GPU, storage, blades, and tiwn server, as well as servers/workstations; laptops and mini-PCs; Intel servers; storage devices; memory products; Acer products; WPS Office products; and AI application products. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Albatron Technology Co reported revenue of 5.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 310M TWD in FY2025, compounding +51.7%/yr from FY2021.
5386 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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