Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Albatron Technology Co Ltd TWD 88.58, price TWD 282, upside -68.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Albatron Technology Co., Ltd manufactures and sells memory modules, motherboards, graphics cards, and other electronic components and materials in Asia, North America, and internationally.
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Albatron Technology Co., Ltd manufactures and sells memory modules, motherboards, graphics cards, and other electronic components and materials in Asia, North America, and internationally. It also offers memory products; rack, GPU, storage, blades, and tiwn server, as well as servers/workstations; laptops and mini-PCs; Intel servers; storage devices; memory products; Acer products; WPS Office products; and AI application products. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386) currently trades at 282.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 88.58 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 218.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 223.88 TWD per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the 282.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11.48 TWD, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 44.61 TWD (bear) to 169.54 TWD (bull), the price of 282.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Albatron Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was 310M TWD in FY2025, compounding +51.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.0B TWD (≈ $439M) · P/E ratio 32.8 · P/S ratio 1.73 · EPS (TTM) 8.60 TWD · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 118% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 582% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −69%, 5386 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 44.61 TWDFair Value 88.58 TWDBull 169.54 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.46 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+39.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 7%
2025 sits 277% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.7%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Albatron Technology Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 219 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)118% · Top 25%
Return on assets26% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth591% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)32.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albatron Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5386
Frequently asked questions
Is Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 88.58 TWD versus a price of 282.00 TWD, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5386?
Our model-based fair value for Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 88.58 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 282.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5386?
Albatron Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 88.58 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 44.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 169.54 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Albatron Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 88.58 TWD, about −69% upside versus a price of 282.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 44.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 169.54 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Albatron Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Albatron Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Albatron Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Albatron Technology Co Ltd it is 88.58 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 282.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Albatron Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5386 trades above its calculated fair value: price 282.00 TWD, fair value 88.58 TWD, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5386?
No. The price is what the market pays today (282.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (88.58 TWD). For Albatron Technology Co Ltd the two are 193.42 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Albatron Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Albatron Technology Co Ltd at about 14.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 282.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 88.58 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5386?
Our models span a range for Albatron Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 44.61 TWD, base 88.58 TWD, optimistic 169.54 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 282.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5386?
Albatron Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 88.58 TWD is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Balance-sheet figures for Albatron Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 118.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5386 from its 52-week high?
Albatron Technology Co Ltd trades at 282.00 TWD, about 28% below its 52-week high of 392.98 TWD and 582% above the low of 41.35 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 88.58 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Albatron Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Albatron Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 282.00 TWD, calculated fair value 88.58 TWD (−69%), Quality Score 42/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5386 calculated?
We run Albatron Technology Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 88.58 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Albatron Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 282.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 88.58 TWD, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Albatron Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (169.54 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (44.61 TWD to 169.54 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Albatron Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The market capitalisation of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 14.0B TWD (≈ $439M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 1.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Earnings per share at Albatron Technology Co Ltd are 8.60 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The dividend yield of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 11.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The net margin of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 118% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
The operating margin of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 23.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Revenue at Albatron Technology Co Ltd is growing +591% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386)?
Earnings per share at Albatron Technology Co Ltd are growing +36.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386) generate?
The free cash flow of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is −965M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Albatron Technology Co Ltd (5386) carry?
The net debt of Albatron Technology Co Ltd is 1.9B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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