Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Mangalam Seeds Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹63.05 – ₹337.45 · fair‑value band ₹91.29 – ₹242.95 · the ₹149.00 price screens below the ₹185.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) currently trades at ₹149.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹185.07, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹396.11 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹149.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹131.90, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹91.29 (bear) to ₹242.95 (bull), the price of ₹149.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Mangalam Seeds Limited reported revenue of ₹1.1B in FY2026 versus ₹408M in FY2022, a compound +28.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹82.5M in FY2026, compounding +12.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹670M (≈ $7.0M) · P/E ratio 17.9 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.41 · Net margin 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% · Free cash flow ₹74.8M · Net debt ₹475M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 24%, 539275 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹91.29Fair Value ₹185.07Bull ₹242.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.56 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Agricultural Chemicals” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3642 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹185.07 versus a price of ₹149.00, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 539275?
Our model-based fair value for Mangalam Seeds Limited is ₹185.07 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹149.00.
What is the quality score of 539275?
Mangalam Seeds Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹185.07 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹91.29, optimistic scenario ₹242.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mangalam Seeds Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹185.07, about +24% upside versus a price of ₹149.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹91.29, optimistic scenario ₹242.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mangalam Seeds Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +22.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 539275 use?
Our models discount Mangalam Seeds Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mangalam Seeds Limited that is +22.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mangalam Seeds Limited grew +22.2 % a year. The price currently implies +22.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mangalam Seeds Limited (+22.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.57 %: that much free cash flow Mangalam Seeds Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mangalam Seeds Limited it is ₹185.07 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹149.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mangalam Seeds Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 539275 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹149.00, fair value ₹185.07, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 539275?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹149.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹185.07). For Mangalam Seeds Limited the two are ₹36.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mangalam Seeds Limited worth?
The market values Mangalam Seeds Limited at about ₹670M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹149.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹185.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 539275?
Our models span a range for Mangalam Seeds Limited: cautious scenario ₹91.29, base ₹185.07, optimistic ₹242.95 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹149.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 539275?
Mangalam Seeds Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹185.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 1.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mangalam Seeds Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 539275 from its 52-week high?
Mangalam Seeds Limited trades at ₹149.00, about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹185.00 and 45% above the low of ₹102.50 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹185.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mangalam Seeds Limited?
From the same area (Materials) we also value Rallis India Limited, National Fertilizers Limited, KILPEST, Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mangalam Seeds Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹149.00, calculated fair value ₹185.07 (+24%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 539275 calculated?
We run Mangalam Seeds Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹185.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Mangalam Seeds Limited currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Mangalam Seeds Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹91.29 to ₹242.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Mangalam Seeds Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
The market capitalisation of Mangalam Seeds Limited is ₹670M (≈ $7.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mangalam Seeds Limited is 1.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
Earnings per share at Mangalam Seeds Limited are ₹3.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
The net margin of Mangalam Seeds Limited is 7.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mangalam Seeds Limited is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Mangalam Seeds Limited (539275) carry?
The net debt of Mangalam Seeds Limited is ₹475M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 6.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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