Ningbo United Group (600051) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.83 – ¥10.29 · fair‑value band ¥3.46 – ¥5.77 · the ¥6.26 price screens above the ¥4.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo United Group (600051) currently trades at ¥6.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.61, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo United Group generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 816M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.46 (bear case) to ¥5.77 (bull case); at ¥6.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -26%, 600051 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.27) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in China. It operates through Real Estate, Thermal, Commercial Trading, and Other segments. The company develops traditional residential properties, cultural tourism real estate, and specialty commercial real estate.
Full company description
Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate development business in China. It operates through Real Estate, Thermal, Commercial Trading, and Other segments. The company develops traditional residential properties, cultural tourism real estate, and specialty commercial real estate. It is also involved in electricity and heat production and supply business; operates boilers and turbines with total installed capacity of 45MW and a heating capacity of approximately 400 tons per hour; manufacturing, contract processing, and sales of coal-water slurry; and wholesale business. In addition, the company engages in export of coal and paper; and provision of loading, unloading, and warehousing services, as well as financial leasing. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Economic and Technical Development Zone United Development Corporation Limited and changed its name to Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd. in June 1996. Ningbo United Group Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo United Group reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥3.7B in FY2021, a compound −23.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥84.4M in FY2025, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −6.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600051 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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