Pool Corporation (POOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pool Corporation stock $169, price $212, that is 20.4% below the price, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $154.14 – $537.96 · fair‑value band $89.22 – $250.40 · the $211.70 price screens above the $168.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
Follow Pool in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Pool is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Pool Corporation distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, related leisure, irrigation, and landscape maintenance products in the United States and internationally.
Show moreShow less
It offers maintenance products, including chemicals, supplies, and pool accessories; repair and replacement parts for pool equipment, such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights; and building materials, such as concrete, plumbing and electrical components, functional and decorative pool surfaces, decking materials, tiles, hardscapes, and natural stones for pool installations and remodeling.
The company also provides pool equipment and components for new pool construction and the remodeling of existing pools; irrigation and related products, such as irrigation system components, and professional turf care equipment and supplies; commercial products, including heaters, safety equipment, commercial decking equipment, and commercial pumps and filters.
In addition, it offers fiberglass pools, and hot tubs and packaged pool kits comprising walls, liners, braces, and coping for in-ground and above-ground pools; and other pool construction and recreational products which consist discretionary recreational and related outdoor living products, such as grills and components for outdoor kitchens.
The company serves swimming pool remodelers and builders; specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies; swimming pool repair and service businesses; irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors; and commercial pool operators and pool contractors.
Pool Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana.
Stock analysis
Pool Corporation (POOL) currently trades at $211.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $168.60, 20% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $195.31 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the $211.70 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $79.15, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $89.22 (bear) to $250.40 (bull), the price of $211.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Pool Corporation reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $5.3B in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was $406M in FY2025, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $7.7B Mid · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 1.41 · EPS (TTM) $10.94 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 30.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −20%, POOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$89.22Fair Value $168.60Bull$250.40
Price $211.70 · Downside -20.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.01 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $1.8M, on May 13, 2026.
BuyDe La Mesa Manuel J PerezDirector4× since Mar 2, 2026: 30,000 shares, avg. $192.48$5.8MMay 13, 2026
BuyDavid G WhalenDirector525 shares at $190.44$99,981May 8, 2026
BuyJames D HopeDirector2× since Feb 25, 2026: 1,869 shares, avg. $208.87$390,375May 7, 2026
BuyJohn E StokelyDirector1,000 shares at $193.07$193,070May 7, 2026
SaleJennifer M NeilSr VP, Sec & Chief Legal Off508 shares at $203.60$103,429Mar 24, 2026
SaleMelanie M HartSenior VP CFO and Treasurer2,750 shares at $220.00$605,000Feb 24, 2026
BuyKenneth G St RomainSenior Vice President5,560 shares at $218.67$1.2MFeb 23, 2026
SalePeter D ArvanPresident/CEO5,000 shares at $245.57$1.2MDec 2, 2025
Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.4% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.0% vs 14.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.7% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Extensive sales center network supports recurring pool maintenance revenue, yet inbound freight costs and shifting customer mix continue to squeeze gross margins.
Main risk: Amazon, Home Depot-backed Heritage and Leslie's expanding pro channels could take professional customers or force lower prices on commodity chemicals and replacement parts, squeezing distribution margins.
Bull case: By deepening its service-center density and digital platforms such as POOL360, the company could lock in recurring maintenance demand from professionals while growing higher-margin outdoor-living categories.
Bear case: If rivals capture meaningful share of maintenance supplies through convenience and pricing, the installed-base revenue floor could weaken and reduce overall scale advantages.
Pool Corporation's vast network of sales centers supports recurring revenue from pool maintenance even when new construction slows. Yet inbound freight costs and shifting customer mix have squeezed gross margins in the latest quarter despite pricing efforts. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will the stable maintenance base ultimately protect profitability or will those cost pressures continue to erode it?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−20.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)30.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets11.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.00× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)19.4× · Pricier than median
P/B6.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.41× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)24.8× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pool Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POOL
Frequently asked questions
Is Pool Corporation (POOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $168.60 versus a price of $211.70, about 20% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POOL?
Our model-based fair value for Pool Corporation is $168.60 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $211.70.
What is the quality score of POOL?
Pool Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $168.60 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $89.22, optimistic scenario $250.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pool Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $168.60, about 20% lower versus a price of $211.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $89.22, optimistic scenario $250.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Pool Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Pool Corporation pay a dividend?
Pool Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Pool Corporation (POOL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Pool Corporation pays a dividend of $5.10 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 13, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 46.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.67 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Pool Corporation (POOL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pool Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +16.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of POOL use?
Our models discount Pool Corporation at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pool Corporation that is +16.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pool Corporation (POOL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pool Corporation grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +16.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pool Corporation (POOL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pool Corporation (+16.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.03 %: that much free cash flow Pool Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pool Corporation it is $168.60 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $211.70. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Pool Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, POOL trades above its calculated fair value: price $211.70, fair value $168.60, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($211.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($168.60). For Pool Corporation the two are $43.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pool Corporation worth?
The market values Pool Corporation at about $7.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $211.70; our models calculate a fair value of $168.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POOL?
Our models span a range for Pool Corporation: cautious scenario $89.22, base $168.60, optimistic $250.40 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $211.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of POOL?
Pool Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $168.60 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2023 ex one-offs: 29.4. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 6.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
What is the PEG ratio of POOL?
The PEG ratio of Pool Corporation is 1.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pool Corporation (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 30.4%, debt of 1.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POOL from its 52-week high?
Pool Corporation trades at $211.70, about 20% below its 52-week high of $266.12 and 37% above the low of $154.14 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $168.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pool Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pool Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $211.70, calculated fair value $168.60 (−20%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POOL calculated?
We run Pool Corporation through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $168.60 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Pool Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $211.70. Our model-based fair value is $168.60, about 20% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pool Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($89.22 to $250.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Pool Corporation (POOL) come from?
Earnings per share at Pool Corporation grew +16.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.2 %, EBIT margin +3.0 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Pool Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The market capitalisation of Pool Corporation is $7.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pool Corporation is 1.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Earnings per share at Pool Corporation are $10.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The dividend yield of Pool Corporation is 2.4% (payout 46.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The net margin of Pool Corporation is 7.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pool Corporation is 30.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pool Corporation is 22.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pool Corporation (POOL)?
The operating margin of Pool Corporation is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pool Corporation (POOL)?
Revenue at Pool Corporation is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Pool Corporation (POOL) carry?
The net debt of Pool Corporation is $244M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Pool Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts Pool Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 7, 2026