Shenzhen Expressway Corporation (600548) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 21.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥7.73 to ¥7.70 (−0.4%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥5.77 (bear) to ¥9.62 (bull), base ¥7.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.24 – ¥13.52 · fair‑value band ¥5.77 – ¥9.62 · the ¥8.35 price screens above the ¥7.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation (600548) currently trades at ¥8.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.70, implying the stock looks roughly 7.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Expressway Corporation generated revenue of 9.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 31.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.77 (bear case) to ¥9.62 (bull case); at ¥8.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -8%, 600548 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.16) versus Economic Profit (¥0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, primarily invests in, constructs, operates, and manages toll highways and roads, as well as other urban and transportation infrastructure in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Toll Road, Environmental Protection, and Others segments.
Full company description
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, primarily invests in, constructs, operates, and manages toll highways and roads, as well as other urban and transportation infrastructure in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Toll Road, Environmental Protection, and Others segments. The company offers recovery and solid waste management; clean energy power generation; construction management and highways operation management services for government and other enterprises; project development, road operation and maintenance, and construction consulting; entrusted management, advertising, finance leasing, and construction services under franchised arrangement services; property development and management; and electronic toll collection and clearing systems and services. It also provides environmental protection and infrastructure construction; capital market; wind power; kitchen waste disposal; commercial factoring; environmental and ecological monitoring agricultural science research; health, elderly care, and nursing; engineering; business and office; information technology; environment and facility; real estate; science and technology promotion and application; and real estate brokerage services. In addition, the company is involved in the leasing and management of apartments; manufacturing equipment; asphalt building materials; and ecological protection and environmental management industries. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Expressway Corporation reported revenue of ¥9.2B in FY2025 versus ¥10.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding −18.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.88 | ¥9.16 | -7% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥11.86 | ¥15.32 | +29% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.86 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 43.57 MXN | +1% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.82 | R$29.18 | +97% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.16 | HK$18.35 | +198% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.31 | ¥14.90 | -9% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥14.33 | ¥17.93 | +25% |
| IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB | ₹20.13 | ₹11.97 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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