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Tengda Construction Group (600512) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

TC Tengda Construction Group 600512 · SHG
Price¥1.99
Fair Value¥0.4800
Upside-75.9%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.50% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.3000 – ¥0.6400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.3000 to ¥0.6400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.46 ¥1.87 Fair Value ¥0.4800 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.87 – ¥4.46 · fair‑value band ¥0.3000 – ¥0.6400 · the ¥1.99 price screens above the ¥0.4800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Tengda Construction Group (600512) currently trades at ¥1.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4800, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tengda Construction Group generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3000 (bear case) to ¥0.6400 (bull case); at ¥1.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -76%, 600512 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.55 ¥2.99 ¥3.66 80
Residual Income ¥2.58 ¥2.40 ¥1.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.67 ¥3.27 ¥3.99 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.55 ¥3.01 ¥3.71 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.32 ¥2.64 ¥3.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.67 ¥3.28 ¥4.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.02 ¥3.95 ¥5.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.23 ¥2.43 ¥2.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.58 ¥3.13 ¥3.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.83 ¥3.60 ¥4.67 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.34 ¥2.55 ¥2.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1300 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6400 54
Lynch FV ¥0.1100 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2100 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.1100 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2100 46
EPV ¥2.67 ¥2.81 ¥2.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1800 ¥0.3500 ¥0.5400 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1800 ¥0.3100 ¥0.3700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.3000 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5100 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.2500 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4100 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.2500 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4100 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.16 ¥3.62 ¥4.08 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.44 ¥3.99 ¥4.54 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.77 ¥3.19 ¥3.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.94 ¥2.60 ¥3.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.55 ¥2.99 ¥3.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.67 ¥3.27 ¥3.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.58 ¥2.40 ¥1.63 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.67 ¥2.81 ¥2.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2100 ¥0.3100 ¥0.4000 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.01) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.3%
Net margin 0.2%
Return on equity -0.2%
Free cash flow 108M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 0.2%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.0%
Net cash 2.6B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tengda Construction Group Co., Ltd. engages in the infrastructure construction business in China. The company constructs municipal roads, rail transit, highways, bridges, and other infrastructure, as well as buildings. It is also involved in the real estate development business. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tengda Construction Group reported revenue of ¥4.8B in FY2025 versus ¥6.9B in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.7M in FY2025, compounding −56.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+30.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+9.8%
Revenue −8.5%/yr
FY21 ¥6.9B
FY22 ¥5.8B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥3.7B
FY25 ¥4.8B
Net income −56.0%/yr
FY21 ¥820M
FY22 ¥16.5M
FY23 ¥47.1M
FY24 ¥26.0M
FY25 ¥30.7M

600512 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tengda Construction Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600512

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 72 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tengda Construction Group (600512) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4800 versus a price of ¥1.99, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600512?
Our model-based fair value for Tengda Construction Group is ¥0.4800 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥1.99.
What is the quality score of 600512?
Tengda Construction Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tengda Construction Group (600512)?
Tengda Construction Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600512?
The net profit margin of Tengda Construction Group is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tengda Construction Group pay a dividend?
Tengda Construction Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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