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Luoyang Glass (600876) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY

LG Luoyang Glass 600876 · SHG
Price¥6.95
Fair Value¥4.34
Upside-37.6%
Quality23/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -37.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.24 – ¥6.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥3.22 to ¥4.34 (+34.8%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +10.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.24 to ¥6.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.08 ¥6.22 Fair Value ¥4.34 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.22 – ¥38.08 · fair‑value band ¥3.24 – ¥6.50 · the ¥6.95 price screens above the ¥4.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Luoyang Glass (600876) currently trades at ¥6.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.34, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Luoyang Glass generated revenue of 3.2B CNY at a net margin of -28.2%. Revenue declined 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.6%. Net debt stands at 5.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.24 (bear case) to ¥6.50 (bull case); at ¥6.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -38%, 600876 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.81 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.81 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.5%
Net margin -37.8%
Return on equity -32.9%
Free cash flow −1.2B CNY FY2025
Operating margin -44.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-1.78
EPS growth (YoY) +25.9%
Net debt 5.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Triumph New Energy Company Limited engages in research, development, production, and sales of new energy materials. The company provides screen printed glass, backboard drilling tempered glass, ultra white ultra-thin photovoltaic glass, ultra white rolled photovoltaic coated glass, ultra white rolled photovoltaic tempered glass, ultra white rolled …

Full company description

Triumph New Energy Company Limited engages in research, development, production, and sales of new energy materials. The company provides screen printed glass, backboard drilling tempered glass, ultra white ultra-thin photovoltaic glass, ultra white rolled photovoltaic coated glass, ultra white rolled photovoltaic tempered glass, ultra white rolled photovoltaic raw glass, original glass, tempered glass, AR film glass, backboard glass, double glass component glass, and AR photovoltaic coated glass. It also offers transparency photovoltaic glass tempered sheet and photovoltaic glass. Triumph New Energy Company Limited was formerly known as Luoyang Glass Company Limited and changed its name to Triumph New Energy Company Limited in March 2023. Triumph New Energy Company Limited was founded in 1956 and is based in Luoyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luoyang Glass reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥914M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 3/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Revenue −2.7%/yr
FY21 ¥3.6B
FY22 ¥5.0B
FY23 ¥6.6B
FY24 ¥4.6B
FY25 ¥3.2B
Net income
FY21 ¥256M
FY22 ¥409M
FY23 ¥395M
FY24 −¥610M
FY25 −¥914M

600876 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with UltraTech Cement Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luoyang Glass Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600876

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -44% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 21
FUTURE0 · sector 2
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH49 · sector 93
DIVIDEND48 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥40.56 ¥13.22 -67%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,293 ₹1,245 -62%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 12.27 MXN -43%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.49 ¥26.14 +49%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹421.00 ₹216.73 -49%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹25,570 ₹8,215 -68%
TCC Group 1101B 43.15 TWD 9.76 TWD -77%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 57.60 TWD 13.98 TWD -76%
J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT ₹5,349 ₹2,184 -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luoyang Glass (600876) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.34 versus a price of ¥6.95, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600876?
Our model-based fair value for Luoyang Glass is ¥4.34 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.95.
What is the quality score of 600876?
Luoyang Glass has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Luoyang Glass (600876)?
Luoyang Glass reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600876?
The net profit margin of Luoyang Glass is about -28.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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