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China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 685B CNY (≈ $102B) · ISIN CNE000001G87

What is China Yangtze Power Co Ltd really worth?

CY China Yangtze Power Co Ltd 600900 · SHG
Price¥28.42
Fair Value¥25.13
Upside−11.6%
Quality57/100

A solid business, but trading 13% above our fair value of ¥25.13.

As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of China Yangtze Power Co Ltd is ¥25.13 per share against a price of ¥28.42, so the fair value sits 12% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 41.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 75/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.7 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Weak on valuation: 18 out of 100

For context

·3.52% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥16.47 – ¥31.42

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +2.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥16.47 to ¥31.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥29.49 ¥15.51 Fair Value ¥25.13 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥15.51 – ¥29.49 · fair‑value band ¥16.47 – ¥31.42 · the ¥28.42 price screens above the ¥25.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900) currently trades at ¥28.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.13, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥26.13 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥28.42 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.38, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Yangtze Power Co Ltd generated revenue of 87.3B CNY at a net margin of 41.3%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.47 (bear case) to ¥31.42 (bull case); at ¥28.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −12%, 600900 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3206 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥15.84 ¥36.71 ¥75.12 75
EPV ¥6.48 ¥9.00 ¥11.25 73
Growth DCF ¥15.69 ¥35.05 ¥70.25 73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥15.84 ¥36.71 ¥75.12 75
Owner Earnings ¥11.96 ¥29.42 ¥61.54 70
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.63 ¥9.61 ¥17.27 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.59 ¥26.13 ¥44.33 72
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.55 ¥26.05 ¥42.63 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.16 ¥14.28 ¥24.43 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.80 ¥26.72 ¥47.78 65
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.77 ¥26.66 ¥46.32 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.50 ¥45.19 ¥62.18 64
Lynch FV ¥12.02 ¥17.18 ¥22.33 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥12.02 ¥17.18 ¥22.33 57
EPV ¥6.48 ¥9.00 ¥11.25 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥13.19 ¥28.79 ¥48.44 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥13.19 ¥23.58 ¥30.00 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.85 ¥25.13 ¥31.42 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.58 ¥8.77 ¥10.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.85 ¥17.14 ¥21.42 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.56 ¥18.02 ¥24.49 65
EV/EBITDA ¥11.07 ¥17.38 ¥23.68 66
EV/Revenue ¥0.9400 ¥3.57 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.76 ¥6.38 ¥9.52 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.69 ¥35.05 ¥70.25 73
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.63 ¥9.72 ¥17.54 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.66 ¥11.90 ¥23.69 72
ROIC Compounder ¥6.48 ¥9.00 ¥13.84 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥17.43 ¥24.89 ¥32.36 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥26.13) versus Asset-Based (¥6.38). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.3
P/S ratio 7.69 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.47 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3
Dividend yield 3.5% payout 68.0%
Net margin 39.8% FY2025
Return on equity 15.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 49.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 87.3B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4% 3y avg +8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +30.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 42.1B CNY FY2025
Net cash 10.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in hydropower generation business in China, Portugal, Peru, Brazil, and Pakistan. The company operates the Three Gorges, Gezhouba, Xiluodu, Xiangjiaba, Wudongde, and Baihetan hydropower stations with an installed capacity of 71.695 MW.

Full company description

China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in hydropower generation business in China, Portugal, Peru, Brazil, and Pakistan. The company operates the Three Gorges, Gezhouba, Xiluodu, Xiangjiaba, Wudongde, and Baihetan hydropower stations with an installed capacity of 71.695 MW. It also engages in smart integrated energy; new energy; power distribution and sales; investment and financing; and pumped storage businesses, as well as overseas power station operation, maintenance, management, and consultation services. China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Yangtze Power Co Ltd reported revenue of 85.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 54.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was 34.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
85.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.4% · in CNY
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+3.9%
Dividend yield3.5%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 3.9% vs 10Y 6.9%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.60.0% (2020) → 49.1% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop29% (2008) · in CNY
Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY21 54.5B CNY
FY22 67.4B CNY
FY23 76.5B CNY
FY24 82.5B CNY
FY25 85.9B CNY
Net income +6.8%/yr
FY21 26.3B CNY
FY22 23.7B CNY
FY23 27.2B CNY
FY24 32.5B CNY
FY25 34.2B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.9 %

of which total revenue +8.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.1 %

EBIT margin −1.7 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600900 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Ørsted A/S →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Yangtze Power Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600900

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.87× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.1× · Pricier than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must China Yangtze Power Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+6.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+8.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+0.7 %
FCF yield on price6.05 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.7 %

The price demands roughly the growth the company recently delivered. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE18 · sector 3
FUTURE32 · sector 0
PAST63 · sector 14
HEALTH57 · sector 68
DIVIDEND70 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 139.25 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.79 ¥5.57 −43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 −87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.49 −12%
VERBUND AG VER €59.65 €55.03 −8%
BEP BEP $31.27 $70.40 +125%
BEPUN BEPUN C$45.05 C$42.83 −5%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.80 €13.55 −32%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥15.92 ¥7.55 −53%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥13.95 ¥16.63 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥25.13 versus a price of ¥28.42, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600900?
Our model-based fair value for China Yangtze Power Co Ltd is ¥25.13 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.42.
What is the quality score of 600900?
China Yangtze Power Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥25.13 (as of Aug 22, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥16.47, optimistic scenario ¥31.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Yangtze Power Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥25.13, about −12% upside versus a price of ¥28.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥16.47, optimistic scenario ¥31.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900)?
China Yangtze Power Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 87.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600900?
The net profit margin of China Yangtze Power Co Ltd is about 41.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Yangtze Power Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Yangtze Power Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.52% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Yangtze Power Co Ltd (600900)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Yangtze Power Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +6.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.7 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Aug 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600900 use?
Our models discount China Yangtze Power Co Ltd at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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