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Orient Securities Company (600958) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 77.1B CNY

OS Orient Securities Company 600958 · SHG
Price¥9.08
Fair Value¥12.82
Upside+41.2%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 40.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.62 – ¥16.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.15 ¥6.93 Fair Value ¥12.82 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.93 – ¥16.15 · fair‑value band ¥9.62 – ¥16.03 · the ¥9.08 price screens below the ¥12.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Orient Securities Company (600958) currently trades at ¥9.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.82, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orient Securities Company generated revenue of 15.0B CNY at a net margin of 38.5%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at 25.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.62 (bear case) to ¥16.03 (bull case); at ¥9.08, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 41%, 600958 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.93 ¥9.36 ¥9.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥26.77 ¥27.47 ¥28.08 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.38 ¥19.12 ¥24.86 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥34.74 ¥49.11 ¥78.24 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.13 ¥33.49 ¥46.87 54
Lynch FV ¥9.75 ¥13.92 ¥18.10 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.75 ¥13.92 ¥18.10 46
EPV ¥26.77 ¥27.47 ¥28.08 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.31 ¥15.08 ¥18.86 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.86 ¥5.14 ¥6.43 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.62 ¥12.82 ¥16.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥29.18 ¥31.39 ¥33.59 53
EV/EBITDA ¥28.27 ¥30.17 ¥32.07 54
EV/Revenue ¥26.17 ¥27.71 ¥29.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.53 ¥7.42 ¥11.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.93 ¥9.36 ¥9.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥26.77 ¥27.47 ¥28.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.38 ¥19.12 ¥24.86 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥49.11) versus Asset-Based (¥7.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 38.5%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow −130M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.6
More key figures
Operating margin 48.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6800
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.8%
Net debt 25.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orient Securities Company Limited operates as an integrated securities company in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management; Investment Banking and Alternative Investment; Institutional and Sales Trading; and International and Other Operations segments.

Full company description

Orient Securities Company Limited operates as an integrated securities company in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management; Investment Banking and Alternative Investment; Institutional and Sales Trading; and International and Other Operations segments. The company provides securities brokerage, financial products, investment advisory, margin financing and securities lending, asset management, and futures services. It also offers stock underwriting and sponsoring, bond underwriting, financial advisory, and diversified corporate solutions, as well as alternative investment. In addition, the company is involved in the market making, research services, and custodian business; provision of proprietary investment, including investment transactions such as in equity, fixed income, commodities and foreign exchange; and client-oriented services comprfising OTC derivatives and FICC agency services. Further, it engages in commodity and financial futures brokerage; investment advisory; equity, asset, investment, securities asset, and fund management; investment consultancy; private equity, bond, industrial, financial asset, and securities investment; securities underwriting; and provision of corporate finance advisory services. Additionally, the company acts as a foreign exchange brokers and dealers; and offers software development services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orient Securities Company reported revenue of ¥15.4B in FY2025 versus ¥27.4B in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.6B in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−33.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+20.7%
Revenue −13.5%/yr
FY21 ¥27.4B
FY22 ¥22.1B
FY23 ¥20.8B
FY24 ¥23.0B
FY25 ¥15.4B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥5.4B
FY22 ¥3.0B
FY23 ¥2.8B
FY24 ¥3.4B
FY25 ¥5.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient Securities Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600958

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.22× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 11
FUTURE 100 · sector 92
PAST 28 · sector 31
HEALTH 69 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orient Securities Company (600958) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.82 versus a price of ¥9.08, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600958?
Our model-based fair value for Orient Securities Company is ¥12.82 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.08.
What is the quality score of 600958?
Orient Securities Company has a Quality Score of 46/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orient Securities Company (600958)?
Orient Securities Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600958?
The net profit margin of Orient Securities Company is about 38.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Orient Securities Company pay a dividend?
Orient Securities Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.63% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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