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Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100001FR6

XL Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp

601012 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value ¥17.96 · Strongly undervalued (+60%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥70.30 ¥10.99 Fair Value ¥17.96 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.99 – ¥70.30 · fair‑value band ¥13.86 – ¥22.06 · the ¥11.23 price screens below the ¥17.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells monocrystalline silicon wafers, solar modules, and green hydrogen equipment in China, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and the United States.

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LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells monocrystalline silicon wafers, solar modules, and green hydrogen equipment in China, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and the United States. The company offers monocrystalline silicon wafers, including tere, p-type, and n-type silicon wafers; high conversion rate components comprising Hi-MO X10, Hi-MO 9, Hi-MO 7, Hi-MO X6 Max, Hi-MO X6, Hi-MO 5m, and Hi-MO 5; green hydrogen production equipment that include ALK Hi1 and ALK G; and building photovoltaics, such as LONGi Hi ROOF S and E, as well as Longji Longding 6 and Longjin 3. It also provides solutions for distributed photovoltaic power stations, ground-mounted photovoltaic power stations, and building-integrated photovoltaics. The company was formerly known as Xi'an LONGI Silicon Materials Corp. and changed its name to LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. in January 2017. LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Xi'an, China.

Stock analysis

Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) currently trades at ¥11.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.96, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥13.35 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥11.23 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.80, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥13.86 (bear) to ¥22.06 (bull), the price of ¥11.23 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp reported revenue of 70.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 80.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −6.4B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 85.1B CNY (≈ $12.7B) · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.9100 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −9.1% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin −12.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 60%, 601012 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥13.86 Fair Value ¥17.96 Bull ¥22.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥11.30 ¥13.35 ¥15.39 67
Gordon GGM ¥0.5800 ¥1.20 ¥1.90 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5800 ¥1.01 ¥1.26 64
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5800 ¥1.20 ¥1.90 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5800 ¥1.01 ¥1.26 64
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥11.30 ¥13.35 ¥15.39 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.58 ¥4.80 ¥7.16 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.3% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +53% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.30× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.37× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 70
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 15

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,396 €1,350 −3%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $421.17 $366.20 −13%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $270.87 $199.98 −26%
KLA Corporation KLAC $168.02 $149.08 −11%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥662.89 ¥76.13 −89%
Teradyne, Inc TER $341.15 $65.80 −81%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥333.59 ¥126.74 −62%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥620.88 ¥322.24 −48%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥134.11 ¥13.84 −90%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,125 TWD 5,071 TWD −17%

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Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp · Fair Value
¥17.96 +37%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601012

Frequently asked questions

Is Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥17.96 versus a price of ¥11.23, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601012?
Our model-based fair value for Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is ¥17.96 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.23.
What is the quality score of 601012?
Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥17.96 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥13.86, optimistic scenario ¥22.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥17.96, about +60% upside versus a price of ¥11.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥13.86, optimistic scenario ¥22.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 67.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp pay a dividend?
Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp it is ¥17.96 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ¥11.23. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 601012 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥11.23, fair value ¥17.96, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601012?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥17.96). For Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp the two are ¥6.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp worth?
The market values Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp at about 85.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.23; our models calculate a fair value of ¥17.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601012?
Our models span a range for Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp: cautious scenario ¥13.86, base ¥17.96, optimistic ¥22.06 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ¥11.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 601012?
The PEG ratio of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is 2.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity −12.6%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601012 from its 52-week high?
Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp trades at ¥11.23, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥23.57 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥17.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ¥11.23, calculated fair value ¥17.96 (+60%), Quality Score 40/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601012 calculated?
We run Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥17.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ¥11.23. Our model-based fair value is ¥17.96, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥13.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) come from?
Earnings per share at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp grew +50.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +45.3 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The market capitalisation of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is 85.1B CNY (≈ $12.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Earnings per share at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp are ¥−0.9100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The dividend yield of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The net margin of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is −9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
The operating margin of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is −12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Revenue at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012)?
Earnings per share at Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp are growing +43.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) generate?
The free cash flow of Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp is −1.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp (601012) hold?
Xian LONGi Silicon Materials Corp holds more cash than debt, 6.0B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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