Tibet Huayu Mining Co (601020) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 17.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥8.76 to ¥35.82). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.37 – ¥40.70 · fair‑value band ¥8.76 – ¥35.82 · the ¥21.15 price screens above the ¥11.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Tibet Huayu Mining Co (601020) currently trades at ¥21.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.78, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tibet Huayu Mining Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 42.1%. Revenue declined 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at 252M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.76 (bear case) to ¥35.82 (bull case); at ¥21.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -44%, 601020 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥27.55) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tibet Huayu Mining Co., Ltd. engages in mining, processing, exploration, and sale of lead, zinc, copper, and other nonferrous metals in China.
Full company description
Tibet Huayu Mining Co., Ltd. engages in mining, processing, exploration, and sale of lead, zinc, copper, and other nonferrous metals in China. The company engages in the mining of copper, lead, and zinc polymetallic; non-ferrous metal trading; solid mineral exploration; sale of mining equipment; mineral information consulting services; experimental equipment laboratory equipment; chemical products; building materials trading; and house leasing businesses. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Lhasa, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tibet Huayu Mining Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥871M in FY2025, compounding +55.1%/yr from FY2021.
601020 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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