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Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co (601100) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 142B CNY

JH Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co 601100 · SHG
Price¥105.10
Fair Value¥39.36
Upside-62.6%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.77% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range ¥26.06 – ¥58.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥58.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥26.06 to ¥58.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥123.74 ¥40.80 Fair Value ¥39.36 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥40.80 – ¥123.74 · fair‑value band ¥26.06 – ¥58.30 · the ¥105.10 price screens above the ¥39.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co (601100) currently trades at ¥105.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥39.36, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co generated revenue of 11.7B CNY at a net margin of 23.6%. Revenue grew 32.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥26.06 (bear case) to ¥58.30 (bull case); at ¥105.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -63%, 601100 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥16.40 ¥26.08 ¥44.28 80
Residual Income ¥13.53 ¥17.80 ¥52.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.19 ¥34.49 ¥55.66 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥16.83 ¥24.12 ¥44.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥33.66 ¥67.17 ¥136.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥20.19 ¥33.56 ¥58.30 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.05 ¥48.56 ¥85.83 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥30.87 ¥60.47 ¥98.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥18.58 ¥33.41 ¥53.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥23.96 ¥46.14 ¥87.24 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥26.64 ¥53.23 ¥99.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥13.87 ¥94.35 ¥132.26 54
Lynch FV ¥27.71 ¥39.58 ¥51.45 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥27.71 ¥39.58 ¥51.45 46
EPV ¥25.27 ¥28.38 ¥31.10 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.20 ¥12.89 ¥20.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.20 ¥10.87 ¥13.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥30.59 ¥40.78 ¥50.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥15.30 ¥20.40 ¥25.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥26.00 ¥34.67 ¥43.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥36.00 ¥45.80 ¥55.61 53
EV/EBITDA ¥31.72 ¥40.10 ¥48.47 54
EV/Revenue ¥20.88 ¥27.00 ¥33.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.44 ¥8.63 ¥12.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥16.40 ¥26.08 ¥44.28 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.19 ¥34.49 ¥55.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.53 ¥17.80 ¥52.83 76
ROIC Compounder ¥29.32 ¥38.64 ¥51.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥37.46 ¥53.52 ¥69.57 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥53.52) versus Asset-Based (¥8.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.5%
Net margin 23.6%
Return on equity 16.1%
Free cash flow 887M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 56.6
More key figures
Operating margin 24.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.07
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net cash 7.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co.,Ltd manufactures hydraulic components and systems in China and internationally. The company offers hydraulic cylinders and pumps, hydraulic motors, mobile control valves, industrial hydraulic valves, cartridge valves, electric drives and controls, pneumatic elements, linear actuators, precision casts, and surface treatment and …

Full company description

Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co.,Ltd manufactures hydraulic components and systems in China and internationally. The company offers hydraulic cylinders and pumps, hydraulic motors, mobile control valves, industrial hydraulic valves, cartridge valves, electric drives and controls, pneumatic elements, linear actuators, precision casts, and surface treatment and sealing technology, as well as hydraulic system and industrial automation products. Its products are used in the construction machinery, agricultural and forestry machinery, tunnel boring equipment, lifting and handling machinery, mining and extraction equipment, offshore and port, metallurgical equipment, metal forming, rubber and general technology, energy and water conservancy, servo control and testing, and building materials and municipal equipment applications. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Hengli Highpressure Oil Cylinder Co., Ltd. Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co.,Ltd was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co reported revenue of ¥10.9B in FY2025 versus ¥9.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.7B in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+23.7%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 ¥9.3B
FY22 ¥8.2B
FY23 ¥9.0B
FY24 ¥9.4B
FY25 ¥10.9B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥2.7B

601100 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601100

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 12.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 38.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.44× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 65 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €967.60 €212.97 -78%
1SIE 1SIE €284.30 €122.46 -57%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co (601100) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥39.36 versus a price of ¥105.10, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601100?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co is ¥39.36 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥105.10.
What is the quality score of 601100?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co has a Quality Score of 63/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co (601100)?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601100?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co is about 23.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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