Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. ¥3.66, price ¥3.60, upside +1.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.39 – ¥7.63 · the ¥3.60 price screens below the ¥3.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, and production of modern chemical products in China.
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Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, and production of modern chemical products in China. It offers coal, raw salt, semi-coke, calcium carbide, electricity, polyvinyl chloride, Alkali and chloric acid, caustic soda, resins, caustic soda, liquid chlorine, hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, and cement products. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Yulin, China.
Stock analysis
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) currently trades at ¥3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.66, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥3.47 per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥3.60 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.4600, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 8.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 108M CNY in FY2025, compounding −50.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.3B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · P/E ratio 360.0 · P/S ratio 4.36 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 2%, 601568 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.66Fair Value ¥3.66Bull ¥3.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−40.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−42.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−42% vs −22%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.7% a year for the price.
Compare Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 358 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601568
Frequently asked questions
Is Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.66 versus a price of ¥3.60, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601568?
Our model-based fair value for Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is ¥3.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.60.
What is the quality score of 601568?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.66, about +2% upside versus a price of ¥3.60 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601568 use?
Our models discount Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. that is -0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. grew -1.9 % a year. The price currently implies -0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (-0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.44 %: that much free cash flow Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. it is ¥3.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.60. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601568 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥3.60, fair value ¥3.66, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601568?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.66). For Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. the two are ¥0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. at about 14.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.66 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 601568?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 360.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601568 from its 52-week high?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. trades at ¥3.60, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥4.65 and 6% above the low of ¥3.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Zhejiang Juhua Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.60, calculated fair value ¥3.66 (+2%), Quality Score 63/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601568 calculated?
We run Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.60. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.66, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The market capitalisation of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 14.3B CNY (≈ $2.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 4.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. are ¥0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 360.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The dividend yield of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The net margin of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
The operating margin of Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Revenue at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. is growing −9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568)?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. are growing −75.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. (601568) hold?
Shaanxi Beiyuan Chemical Industry Group Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 4.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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