Shanghai Film Co (601595) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 8.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.34 – ¥39.96 · fair‑value band ¥4.16 – ¥6.93 · the ¥17.76 price screens above the ¥5.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Film Co (601595) currently trades at ¥17.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 68.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Film Co generated revenue of 846M CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 29.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 236M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.16 (bear case) to ¥6.93 (bull case); at ¥17.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -69%, 601595 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.67) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. engages in film distribution and screening activities in China. It is involved in the operation and sale of copyrights; and provision of online ticketing and membership services, as well as investment, development, and operation of cinemas and cultural facilities.
Full company description
Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. engages in film distribution and screening activities in China. It is involved in the operation and sale of copyrights; and provision of online ticketing and membership services, as well as investment, development, and operation of cinemas and cultural facilities. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Oriental Television Distribution Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. in July 2012. Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Shanghai, China. Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shanghai Film (Group) Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Film Co reported revenue of ¥918M in FY2025 versus ¥731M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥113M in FY2025, compounding +50.7%/yr from FY2021.
601595 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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