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GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co (603058) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

GP GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co 603058 · SHG
Price¥10.10
Fair Value¥4.16
Upside-58.8%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.12 – ¥5.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +19.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.74 ¥5.64 Fair Value ¥4.16 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.64 – ¥13.74 · fair‑value band ¥3.12 – ¥5.20 · the ¥10.10 price screens above the ¥4.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co (603058) currently trades at ¥10.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.16, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co generated revenue of 838M CNY at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 18.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 159M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.12 (bear case) to ¥5.20 (bull case); at ¥10.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -59%, 603058 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.68 ¥9.39 ¥15.18 80
Residual Income ¥2.33 ¥2.44 ¥2.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.59 ¥5.66 ¥8.25 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.69 ¥9.67 ¥16.07 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.27 ¥5.59 ¥9.32 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.59 ¥5.64 ¥8.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.70 ¥7.84 ¥11.65 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.75 ¥5.94 ¥8.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.20 ¥6.32 ¥9.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.00 ¥7.87 ¥11.98 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.39 ¥6.54 ¥9.34 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.35 ¥5.61 ¥7.65 54
Lynch FV ¥1.42 ¥2.03 ¥2.63 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.42 ¥2.03 ¥2.63 46
EPV ¥2.35 ¥2.74 ¥3.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.15 ¥2.29 ¥3.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.15 ¥1.98 ¥2.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.12 ¥4.16 ¥5.20 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.53 ¥3.37 ¥4.21 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.53 ¥3.37 ¥4.21 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.14 ¥5.55 ¥6.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.61 ¥6.18 ¥7.75 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.57 ¥3.72 ¥4.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.46 ¥1.95 ¥2.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.68 ¥9.39 ¥15.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.59 ¥5.66 ¥8.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.33 ¥2.44 ¥2.55 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.35 ¥2.74 ¥3.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.43 ¥3.46 ¥4.50 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.32) versus Asset-Based (¥1.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 810M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.9%
Net margin 13.3%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow 204M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 40.4
More key figures
Operating margin -4.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) -16.2%
Net debt 159M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging and printing business in China and Australia.

Full company description

GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the packaging and printing business in China and Australia. It offers cigarette, wine, pills boxes products; paper products and parts; engaged in the social printing, such as cigarette and liquor label printing; and medical marijuana related products, including dried flowers and essential oils. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Guiyang City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co reported revenue of ¥881M in FY2025 versus ¥436M in FY2021, a compound +19.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥82.2M in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
881M CNY
Latest YoY
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+8.0%
Revenue +19.2%/yr
FY21 ¥436M
FY22 ¥653M
FY23 ¥818M
FY24 ¥905M
FY25 ¥881M
Net income −12.1%/yr
FY21 ¥138M
FY22 ¥37.8M
FY23 ¥100M
FY24 ¥160M
FY25 ¥82.2M

603058 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603058

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 33.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 40 · sector 21
HEALTH 91 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co (603058) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.16 versus a price of ¥10.10, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603058?
Our model-based fair value for GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co is ¥4.16 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.10.
What is the quality score of 603058?
GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co (603058)?
GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 838M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603058?
The net profit margin of GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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