Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co (603117) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥0.5400 to ¥0.8699 (+61.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.25 – ¥9.59 · fair‑value band ¥0.6524 – ¥1.09 · the ¥3.75 price screens above the ¥0.8699 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co (603117) currently trades at ¥3.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8699, implying the stock looks roughly 76.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co generated revenue of 231M CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 26.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at 64.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6524 (bear case) to ¥1.09 (bull case); at ¥3.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -77%, 603117 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥1.17) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co., Ltd. provides wood logistics and wood import agency services in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co., Ltd. provides wood logistics and wood import agency services in China and internationally. The company provides wood agency procurement logistics services; and shipping agency, customs clearance, inspection declaration, agency charter booking, insurance, freight forwarding services, etc., as well as port loading and unloading stockpiling logistics services; and warehousing and logistics services. It offers wood processing and logistics services; professional logistic information services; and wood drying, material fumigation, and recycled process waste reuse services. Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co., Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Jingjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Wanlin Modern Logistics Co reported revenue of ¥247M in FY2025 versus ¥580M in FY2021, a compound −19.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.5M in FY2025.
603117 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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