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HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co (603238) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.1B CNY

HN HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co 603238 · SHG
Price¥12.34
Fair Value¥14.54
Upside+17.8%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.51% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.90 – ¥18.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price +8.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥10.90 (bear) to ¥18.17 (bull), base ¥14.54. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥22.97 ¥8.76 Fair Value ¥14.54 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.76 – ¥22.97 · fair‑value band ¥10.90 – ¥18.17 · the ¥12.34 price screens below the ¥14.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

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Analysis

HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co (603238) currently trades at ¥12.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.54, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co generated revenue of 3.0B CNY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 528M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.90 (bear case) to ¥18.17 (bull case); at ¥12.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 18%, 603238 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.44 ¥19.13 ¥31.04 80
Residual Income ¥6.79 ¥7.25 ¥8.01 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥14.21 ¥22.99 ¥35.79 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.74 ¥17.92 ¥31.59 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥14.21 ¥22.75 ¥37.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.36 ¥31.92 ¥53.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.97 ¥25.26 ¥38.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.35 ¥22.28 ¥35.11 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.52 ¥29.64 ¥53.40 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.21 ¥23.62 ¥39.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.49 ¥29.54 ¥41.36 54
Lynch FV ¥8.61 ¥12.30 ¥15.99 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.61 ¥12.30 ¥15.99 46
EPV ¥13.62 ¥14.91 ¥16.03 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.66 ¥5.29 ¥8.01 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.66 ¥4.57 ¥5.59 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.90 ¥14.54 ¥18.17 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.43 ¥11.24 ¥14.04 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.43 ¥11.24 ¥14.04 55
EV/EBIT ¥18.96 ¥23.47 ¥27.99 53
EV/EBITDA ¥21.33 ¥26.64 ¥31.95 54
EV/Revenue ¥14.54 ¥18.45 ¥22.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.13 ¥5.53 ¥8.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.44 ¥19.13 ¥31.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥14.21 ¥22.99 ¥35.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.79 ¥7.25 ¥8.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.23 ¥18.94 ¥23.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.30 ¥17.57 ¥22.85 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.2%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 90.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 7.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6600
Dividend yield 2.5%
Net cash 528M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co., Ltd. engages in the research, develop, production, and sale of spunlace nonwovens materials in China and internationally.

Full company description

HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co., Ltd. engages in the research, develop, production, and sale of spunlace nonwovens materials in China and internationally. It provides beauty materials, industrial materials, civil cleaning, and medical materials products; and non-woven dry towel products, such as cotton soft towels, beauty products, civil cleaning rags, industrial wipes, etc. The company also offers industrial cleaning, decorative materials, automotive materials, environmentally friendly filter materials, and synthetic leather fabrics, etc.; medical protective materials, and medical accessories, etc.; dry wipes, including beauty cleansing, kitchen cleaning, mother and baby cleaning, toilet cleaning, and household cleaning products; and wet wipes, such as baby wipes, personal care wipes, cleaning wipes, hygienic wipes, functional wipes, and disinfectant wipes. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥117M in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+28.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.6B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +5.0%/yr
FY21 ¥96.6M
FY22 ¥37.7M
FY23 ¥82.6M
FY24 ¥95.2M
FY25 ¥117M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −0.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.9 pp

of which total revenue +16.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.0 pp

EBIT margin −11.1 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603238

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 8
FUTURE 81 · sector 0
PAST 34 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥78.00 ¥11.85 -85%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co (603238) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.54 versus a price of ¥12.34, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603238?
Our model-based fair value for HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co is ¥14.54 (as of Aug 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.34.
What is the quality score of 603238?
HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co (603238)?
HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603238?
The net profit margin of HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co pay a dividend?
HangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.38% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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