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Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co (603281) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.9B CNY

HJ Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co 603281 · SHG
Price¥21.04
Fair Value¥23.83
Upside+13.3%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 22.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range ¥17.87 – ¥29.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥19.05 to ¥23.83 (+25.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −11.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥17.87 (bear) to ¥29.80 (bull), base ¥23.83. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥29.11 ¥13.26 Fair Value ¥23.83 Jan 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range ¥13.26 – ¥29.11 · fair‑value band ¥17.87 – ¥29.80 · the ¥21.04 price screens below the ¥23.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co (603281) currently trades at ¥21.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.83, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 22.6%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.8. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥17.87 (bear case) to ¥29.80 (bull case); at ¥21.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 13%, 603281 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥11.01 ¥11.97 ¥14.57 76
Growth DCF ¥16.30 ¥19.11 ¥23.93 72
Gordon GGM ¥9.09 ¥9.95 ¥11.26 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.95 ¥18.86 ¥24.23 38
Owner Earnings ¥17.73 ¥21.33 ¥28.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥14.35 ¥16.70 ¥20.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.47 ¥20.38 ¥25.55 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥18.92 ¥24.61 ¥31.40 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥14.79 ¥16.60 ¥18.51 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.21 ¥18.87 ¥21.69 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥17.70 ¥21.49 ¥25.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.62 ¥9.31 ¥10.47 54
EPV ¥16.53 ¥17.86 ¥19.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥9.09 ¥9.95 ¥11.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥9.09 ¥11.41 ¥14.65 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥14.28 ¥19.05 ¥23.81 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.60 ¥7.47 ¥9.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.28 ¥19.05 ¥23.81 55
EV/EBIT ¥19.69 ¥23.40 ¥27.11 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.19 ¥21.40 ¥24.61 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.78 ¥16.02 ¥18.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.42 ¥8.60 ¥12.84 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥16.30 ¥19.11 ¥23.93 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥14.35 ¥16.88 ¥20.00 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.01 ¥11.97 ¥14.57 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.53 ¥18.22 ¥19.94 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.18 ¥14.54 ¥18.90 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥19.05) versus Asset-Based (¥8.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 22.6%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow 284M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 25.3
More key figures
Operating margin 20.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8300
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of silane coupling agents, silane cross-linking agents, and other products in China.

Full company description

Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the development, production, and sale of silane coupling agents, silane cross-linking agents, and other products in China. The company's products include chlorosilane and alkoxysilane intermediates; alpha silane series; sulfur-containing silanes; amino, alkyl, phenyl, acyloxy, epoxy, and vinyl silanes; silane polymers; and silicon rubber additives. It also exports its products to Europe, America, South Korea, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jingzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥418M in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−17.5%
Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥1.9B
Net income −11.6%/yr
FY21 ¥684M
FY22 ¥1.0B
FY23 ¥655M
FY24 ¥602M
FY25 ¥418M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603281

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +13% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 0
FUTURE 25 · sector 20
PAST 34 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co (603281) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥23.83 versus a price of ¥21.04, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603281?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co is ¥23.83 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.04.
What is the quality score of 603281?
Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co (603281)?
Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603281?
The net profit margin of Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co is about 22.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co pay a dividend?
Hubei Jianghan New Materials Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.89% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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