Hangcha Group (603298) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 33.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥16.82 to ¥35.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.54 – ¥31.16 · fair‑value band ¥16.82 – ¥35.89 · the ¥26.14 price screens below the ¥27.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Hangcha Group (603298) currently trades at ¥26.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥27.51, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangcha Group generated revenue of 18.2B CNY at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥16.82 (bear case) to ¥35.89 (bull case); at ¥26.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 5%, 603298 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.69) versus Asset-Based (¥5.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hangcha Group Co., Ltd manufactures and sells forklift products in China and internationally. The company offers lithium e-trucks, e-trucks, IC - trucks, pallet trucks, and reach trucks; and pallet stackers, order pickers, tow tractors, very narrow aisle trucks, rough terrain trucks, aerial platforms, explosion proof forklifts, and AGVs.
Full company description
Hangcha Group Co., Ltd manufactures and sells forklift products in China and internationally. The company offers lithium e-trucks, e-trucks, IC - trucks, pallet trucks, and reach trucks; and pallet stackers, order pickers, tow tractors, very narrow aisle trucks, rough terrain trucks, aerial platforms, explosion proof forklifts, and AGVs. It also provides spare parts; bulk supply of forklift forks, seat, and tyre; industrial vehicle product accessories, sells parts and kits, vehicle repair, vehicle modification, industrial vehicle leasing, leasing of intelligent handling robots. The company serves retail/wholesale, food/pharma, transport/logistics, manufacturing, automotive, ports/terminals, chemical/energy, forestry/wood, and other industries. Hangcha Group Co., Ltd was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangcha Group reported revenue of ¥17.7B in FY2025 versus ¥14.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.2B in FY2025, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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