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Jiangsu New Energy Development Co (603693) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 12.9B CNY

JN Jiangsu New Energy Development Co 603693 · SHG
Price¥12.08
Fair Value¥7.64
Upside-36.8%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥6.34 – ¥11.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.34 to ¥11.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.86 ¥7.42 Fair Value ¥7.64 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.42 – ¥24.86 · fair‑value band ¥6.34 – ¥11.77 · the ¥12.08 price screens above the ¥7.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangsu New Energy Development Co (603693) currently trades at ¥12.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.64, implying the stock looks roughly 36.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu New Energy Development Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 22.4%. Revenue declined 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at 4.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.34 (bear case) to ¥11.77 (bull case); at ¥12.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -37%, 603693 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.52 ¥4.22 ¥8.04 80
Residual Income ¥6.50 ¥6.88 ¥7.42 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.2500 ¥2.66 ¥5.41 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.41 ¥4.42 ¥8.95 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.44 ¥6.00 ¥11.35 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.2500 ¥2.62 ¥5.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.75 ¥12.79 ¥20.98 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.15 ¥6.13 ¥10.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.5000 ¥2.75 ¥5.66 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.11 ¥9.76 ¥17.28 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.82 ¥5.17 ¥9.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.87 ¥11.39 ¥15.06 54
Lynch FV ¥2.38 ¥3.40 ¥4.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.38 ¥3.40 ¥4.43 46
EPV ¥4.29 ¥5.71 ¥6.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.92 ¥6.08 ¥9.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.92 ¥4.72 ¥6.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.68 ¥10.25 ¥12.81 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.39 ¥5.85 ¥7.32 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.26 ¥9.68 ¥12.10 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.64 ¥11.60 ¥15.57 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.68 ¥14.33 ¥18.98 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.59 ¥3.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.96 ¥5.31 ¥7.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.52 ¥4.22 ¥8.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.2500 ¥2.66 ¥5.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.50 ¥6.88 ¥7.42 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.29 ¥5.71 ¥6.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.34 ¥9.05 ¥11.77 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥9.68) versus Growth DCF (¥2.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.6%
Net margin 22.4%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 452M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 28.4
More key figures
Operating margin 37.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net debt 4.0B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu New Energy Development Co., Ltd. develops, constructs, manages, operates, and invests in new energy projects. It is involved in wind energy, solar energy, biomass energy, geothermal energy, ocean energy, and natural gas hydrate projects. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Nanjing, China. Jiangsu New Energy Development Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Jiangsu New Energy Development Co., Ltd. develops, constructs, manages, operates, and invests in new energy projects. It is involved in wind energy, solar energy, biomass energy, geothermal energy, ocean energy, and natural gas hydrate projects. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Nanjing, China. Jiangsu New Energy Development Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Jiangsu Guoxin Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu New Energy Development Co reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥507M in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+9.4%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.0B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥2.1B
FY25 ¥2.1B
Net income +13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥309M
FY22 ¥476M
FY23 ¥472M
FY24 ¥417M
FY25 ¥507M

603693 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu New Energy Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603693

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 26 · sector 12
HEALTH 62 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu New Energy Development Co (603693) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.64 versus a price of ¥12.08, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603693?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu New Energy Development Co is ¥7.64 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.08.
What is the quality score of 603693?
Jiangsu New Energy Development Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu New Energy Development Co (603693)?
Jiangsu New Energy Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603693?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu New Energy Development Co is about 22.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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