Haitian Water Group (603759) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.89 to ¥6.51 (−5.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥4.88 (bear) to ¥8.14 (bull), base ¥6.51. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 38/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.44 – ¥26.44 · fair‑value band ¥4.88 – ¥8.14 · the ¥7.22 price screens above the ¥6.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Haitian Water Group (603759) currently trades at ¥7.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.51, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Haitian Water Group generated revenue of 4.4B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 2.8B CNY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 27.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.88 (bear case) to ¥8.14 (bull case); at ¥7.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -10%, 603759 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.79) versus Economic Profit (¥2.49). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Haitian Water Group Co.,Ltd. provides water and environmental protection services in China. It engages in the installation of water supply facilities and supply of tap water to users in government-franchised water supply area; sewage treatment; waste incineration power generation; supply of direct drinking water services; and engineering construction, …
Full company description
Haitian Water Group Co.,Ltd. provides water and environmental protection services in China. It engages in the installation of water supply facilities and supply of tap water to users in government-franchised water supply area; sewage treatment; waste incineration power generation; supply of direct drinking water services; and engineering construction, including renovation and expansion projects, as well as general contracting and professional subcontracting services. Haitian Water Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Haitian Water Group reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +31.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥177M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.33 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$29.22 | R$31.23 | +7% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $38.59 | $21.81 | -43% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$66.10 | R$60.17 | -9% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.42 | ¥33.29 | +13% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $85.01 | $48.02 | -44% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥6.97 | ¥10.74 | +54% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.73 | $33.56 | -33% |
| Chongqing Water Group 601158 | ¥4.12 | ¥2.77 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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