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Anhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co (603815) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.9B CNY

Price¥5.56
Fair Value¥2.98
Upside-46.4%
Quality94/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.37 – ¥3.67

Analysis

Anhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co (603815) currently trades at ¥5.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.98 — implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Anhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co.,Ltd. operates as a highway and municipal infrastructure construction company in China. The company undertakes road construction, bridge engineering, tunnel engineering, municipal engineering, urban rail transit engineering, housing construction project, designs services, maintenance project and test inspection works; and invests in projects. Anhui Gourgen Traffic Construction Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is based in Hefei, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.