Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co ¥3.32, price ¥8.80, upside -62.3%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.95 – ¥23.30 · fair‑value band ¥2.91 – ¥3.66 · the ¥8.80 price screens above the ¥3.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Shanghai CDXJ Digital Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides internet data center services in China. It operates in two segments, IDC Investment and Operation Services and IDC Comprehensive Solutions.
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Shanghai CDXJ Digital Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides internet data center services in China. It operates in two segments, IDC Investment and Operation Services and IDC Comprehensive Solutions. The company offers high and low voltage cabinets, precision power distribution cabinets, intelligent data busbars, micromodules cabinets and cold aisles, and structured cabling. It also constructs, manufactures, sells, invests, and operates data centers; provides planning and design, hosting, maintenance, and procurement services; and cloud infrastructure. In addition, the company offers IDC solutions, including system integration; general contracting of electromechanical engineering; specialized contracting of electronic and intelligent engineering; prefabricated power modules, cooling plants, and water system piping; and containerized diesel generator sets, as well as enabling ultra-short turnaround times for data center project integration. Further, it is involved in the pile foundation and enclosure businesses; geotechnical design; and construction services. The company serves internet and cloud service providers, financial institutions, telecommunications and IT service providers, domestic enterprises, and multinational corporations. Shanghai CDXJ Digital Technology Co.,Ltd was founded in 1997 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887) currently trades at ¥8.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.32, implying the stock looks roughly 165.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥7.59 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥8.80 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.11, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥2.91 (bear) to ¥3.66 (bull), the price of ¥8.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co reported revenue of 3.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −67.1M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $791M) · P/S ratio 1.66 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% · Operating margin 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −62%, 603887 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.91Fair Value ¥3.32Bull ¥3.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+138.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.8% (2020) → 6.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 822 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.21× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.8× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)83· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)30· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603887
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.32 versus a price of ¥8.80, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603887?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is ¥3.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.80.
What is the quality score of 603887?
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.32 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.91, optimistic scenario ¥3.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.32, about −62% upside versus a price of ¥8.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.91, optimistic scenario ¥3.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co it is ¥3.32 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥8.80. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 603887 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.80, fair value ¥3.32, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603887?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.32). For Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co the two are ¥5.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co worth?
The market values Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603887?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co: cautious scenario ¥2.91, base ¥3.32, optimistic ¥3.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥8.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603887 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co trades at ¥8.80, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥17.91 and 7% above the low of ¥8.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥8.80, calculated fair value ¥3.32 (−62%), Quality Score 24/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603887 calculated?
We run Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥8.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.32, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is 5.3B CNY (≈ $791M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is 1.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The net margin of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is −1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is −4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Revenue at Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co are growing +13.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is −725M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co (603887) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Chengdi Constr Co is 772M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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