Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Hunan Baili Engineering Sci is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.37 – ¥20.13 · fair‑value band ¥0.4300 – ¥0.5300 · the ¥4.63 price screens above the ¥0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd provides professional engineering consultation, engineering design, engineering, procurement, and construction services in China.
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Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd provides professional engineering consultation, engineering design, engineering, procurement, and construction services in China. The company engages in the engineering consulting and design, engineering general contracting, equipment intelligent manufacturing, intelligent production line integrated manufacturing, etc. It also provides study, FEED, licensing, and basic and detailed engineering services; sourcing, purchasing of equipment, bulks, and spare parts, subcontracting, and expediting and inspection services; site advisory and management, site fabrication, installation, and commissioning and start-up services; and cost, schedule, scope, and quality control services, as well as health, safety, and environmental-related risk management services. The company serves petrochemical and modern coal chemical; petroleum refining; chemical raw materials; synthetic fiber, rubber, and resin; and oil and gas storage and transportation industries. Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Yueyang, China.
Stock analysis
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959) currently trades at ¥4.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4700, implying the stock looks roughly 885.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥0.4600 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥4.63 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.0700, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4300 (bear) to ¥0.5300 (bull), the price of ¥4.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci reported revenue of 741M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −154M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $339M) · P/S ratio 3.91 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3500 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −20.8% · Return on equity −237% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin −22.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −90%, 603959 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci reported revenue of 741M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −154M CNY in FY2025.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
741M CNY
Latest YoY
−39.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.7% (2020) → −8.3% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 18
FUTURE0· sector 11
PAST0· sector 26
HEALTH0· sector 94
DIVIDEND23· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
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Is Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4700 versus a price of ¥4.63, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603959?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci is ¥0.4700 (as of Sep 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.63.
What is the quality score of 603959?
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.4700 (as of Sep 12, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hunan Baili Engineering Sci stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.4700, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥4.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4300, optimistic scenario ¥0.5300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959)?
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 511M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603959?
The net profit margin of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci is about −33.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan Baili Engineering Sci pay a dividend?
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hunan Baili Engineering Sci it is ¥0.4700 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026), against a price of ¥4.63. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hunan Baili Engineering Sci stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 12, 2026, 603959 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.63, fair value ¥0.4700, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603959?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.4700). For Hunan Baili Engineering Sci the two are ¥4.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hunan Baili Engineering Sci worth?
The market values Hunan Baili Engineering Sci at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 12, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603959?
Our models span a range for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci: cautious scenario ¥0.4300, base ¥0.4700, optimistic ¥0.5300 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026, price ¥4.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (603959)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci (as of Sep 12, 2026): return on equity −236.9%, debt of 2.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603959 from its 52-week high?
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci trades at ¥4.63, about 45% below its 52-week high of ¥8.39 and 27% above the low of ¥3.64 (as of Sep 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hunan Baili Engineering Sci?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hunan Baili Engineering Sci stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 12, 2026: price ¥4.63, calculated fair value ¥0.4700 (−90%), Quality Score 33/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603959 calculated?
We run Hunan Baili Engineering Sci through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 31.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Hunan Baili Engineering Sci itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
What should I pay attention to with Hunan Baili Engineering Sci right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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