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Allied Machinery Co (605060) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.6B CNY

AM Allied Machinery Co 605060 · SHG
Price¥42.25
Fair Value¥19.87
Upside-53.0%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.75% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.19 – ¥24.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −20.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥24.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥12.19 to ¥24.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥73.00 ¥11.47 Fair Value ¥19.87 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.47 – ¥73.00 · fair‑value band ¥12.19 – ¥24.84 · the ¥42.25 price screens above the ¥19.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Allied Machinery Co (605060) currently trades at ¥42.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.87, implying the stock looks roughly 53.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Allied Machinery Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 567M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.19 (bear case) to ¥24.84 (bull case); at ¥42.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -53%, 605060 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.53 ¥12.94 ¥20.43 80
Residual Income ¥8.83 ¥9.69 ¥13.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.99 ¥13.90 ¥20.25 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.58 ¥13.39 ¥21.79 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.38 ¥16.67 ¥27.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.99 ¥14.05 ¥20.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.45 ¥25.34 ¥39.22 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.93 ¥24.26 ¥36.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.57 ¥13.35 ¥20.77 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.43 ¥21.64 ¥36.07 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.08 ¥20.84 ¥33.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.44 ¥30.07 ¥41.33 54
Lynch FV ¥7.95 ¥11.36 ¥14.76 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.95 ¥11.36 ¥14.76 46
EPV ¥12.56 ¥14.21 ¥15.65 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.50 ¥5.21 ¥8.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.50 ¥4.39 ¥5.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥14.91 ¥19.87 ¥24.84 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.82 ¥10.43 ¥13.03 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.07 ¥16.09 ¥20.11 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.38 ¥22.28 ¥27.18 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.43 ¥23.67 ¥28.92 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.25 ¥12.06 ¥14.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.13 ¥6.87 ¥10.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.53 ¥12.94 ¥20.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.99 ¥13.90 ¥20.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.83 ¥9.69 ¥13.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥13.55 ¥17.59 ¥23.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.62 ¥18.03 ¥23.44 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥18.03) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.4%
Net margin 18.5%
Return on equity 10.0%
Free cash flow 110M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 47.2
More key figures
Operating margin 23.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.02
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.8%
Net cash 567M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Allied Machinery Co., Ltd. designs, researches and develops, produces, and sells high-precision mechanical parts and precision cavity mold products in China and the United States.

Full company description

Allied Machinery Co., Ltd. designs, researches and develops, produces, and sells high-precision mechanical parts and precision cavity mold products in China and the United States. It provides gearbox and rear gearbox, engine block, flywheel housing, reducer and reducer housing, torque arm, and power frame; valve case and body, reducer rear cover, housing and motor housing, regulator, and pump rear cover; compressor, interstage and rotor housing, volute casing, suction cover, and motor housings products. The company also offers rear wheel hub, axle housing, turbine support, CASE, housing frame, end housing, left cam, bracket, left mounting frame, main reducer housing, crankcase housing, pump flange, slider, connecting rod, dual-end base, power frame, drive housing, base, main baffle, spindle disk, and right rear base products. It offers its products for power and energy, hydraulics, HVAC, construction, air compressor, agriculture, automation, and food process industry. Allied Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Allied Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥799M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥228M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+12.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 ¥799M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY21 ¥161M
FY22 ¥248M
FY23 ¥251M
FY24 ¥187M
FY25 ¥228M

605060 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Allied Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605060

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 27.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 40 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Allied Machinery Co (605060) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.87 versus a price of ¥42.25, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605060?
Our model-based fair value for Allied Machinery Co is ¥19.87 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥42.25.
What is the quality score of 605060?
Allied Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Allied Machinery Co (605060)?
Allied Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605060?
The net profit margin of Allied Machinery Co is about 18.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Allied Machinery Co pay a dividend?
Allied Machinery Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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