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Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co (605189) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.2B CNY

WF Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co 605189 · SHG
Price¥15.75
Fair Value¥6.21
Upside-60.6%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.65 – ¥7.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥7.09 to ¥6.21 (−12.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥19.97 ¥7.68 Fair Value ¥6.21 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.68 – ¥19.97 · fair‑value band ¥4.65 – ¥7.48 · the ¥15.75 price screens above the ¥6.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co (605189) currently trades at ¥15.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.21, implying the stock looks roughly 60.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.65 (bear case) to ¥7.48 (bull case); at ¥15.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -61%, 605189 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥15.66 ¥26.88 ¥45.35 80
Residual Income ¥6.03 ¥6.02 ¥5.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.22 ¥14.16 ¥20.72 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.90 ¥28.57 ¥50.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.57 ¥7.76 ¥13.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.22 ¥14.14 ¥20.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.01 ¥22.15 ¥33.66 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.01 ¥13.71 ¥18.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.21 ¥16.68 ¥24.76 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.87 ¥22.50 ¥35.69 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.25 ¥16.37 ¥23.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.19 ¥11.00 ¥15.18 54
Lynch FV ¥2.98 ¥4.25 ¥5.53 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.98 ¥4.25 ¥5.53 46
EPV ¥5.47 ¥6.22 ¥6.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.81 ¥5.60 ¥8.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.81 ¥4.84 ¥5.91 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.31 ¥7.09 ¥8.86 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.11 ¥5.47 ¥6.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.11 ¥5.47 ¥6.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.55 ¥11.15 ¥13.75 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.46 ¥16.36 ¥20.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.00 ¥8.26 ¥10.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.07 ¥5.45 ¥8.13 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.66 ¥26.88 ¥45.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.22 ¥14.16 ¥20.72 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.03 ¥6.02 ¥5.41 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.47 ¥6.22 ¥6.86 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.65 ¥6.65 ¥8.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.37) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.0%
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow 286M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7500
EPS growth (YoY) -79.2%
Net debt 1.4B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of colored yarns primarily in China. It offers fuchun color card, cone dyed yarns, mercerized cotton threads, organic cotton yarns, linen grey yarns, bamboo fibers, and BCI cotton yarns. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Wuhu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥76.7M in FY2025, compounding −24.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+12.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥3.0B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income −24.2%/yr
FY21 ¥233M
FY22 ¥163M
FY23 ¥104M
FY24 ¥126M
FY25 ¥76.7M

605189 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605189

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 85 · sector 0
PAST 16 · sector 14
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co (605189) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.21 versus a price of ¥15.75, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605189?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co is ¥6.21 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.75.
What is the quality score of 605189?
Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co (605189)?
Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605189?
The net profit margin of Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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