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Hwacom Systems (6163) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hwacom Systems TWD 12.79, price TWD 41.40, upside -69.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · TW · ISIN TW0006163009

HS Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Hwacom Systems

6163 · TWO

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 12.79 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 57/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.40% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

74.10 TWD 13.90 TWD Fair Value 12.79 TWD May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.90 TWD – 74.10 TWD · fair‑value band 9.13 TWD – 15.42 TWD · the 41.40 TWD price screens above the 12.79 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

HwaCom Systems Inc. provides digital media, smart applications, cybersecurity, and information and communication technology solutions in Taiwan and internationally.

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HwaCom Systems Inc. provides digital media, smart applications, cybersecurity, and information and communication technology solutions in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers cloud computing and data center solutions; VMware cloud foundation; network management solutions; broadband integration solutionsl private 5G network and smart applications solutions; telecommunication digital value-added application service; clout solutions; intelligent cloud cost optimization solution; migration to azure cloud; and multi-cloud solutions. It also provides intelligent transportation service; smart city control solutions; AIoT innovative application services assist digital transformation; smart pole solution; AR remote video collaboration application; drone application solutions - unmanned aerial vehicles/drones; video surveillance cloud; technological disaster prevention and smart construction solutions; and intelligent building management system solutions. In addition, the company offers IPTV/OTT Solution - Amazing TV, E2E IPTV/OTT Total Solution, Smart Exhibition and 5G Streaming Solutions, and Smart AirPort Solution. Further, it provides information security solutions, such as security management services; digital risk protection " cyberint argos; breach and attack simulation " KEYSIGHT threat simulator; ai cyber security defense " darktrace; system vulnerability scan service; webpage vulnerability scan service; penetration testing; source code inspection service; IOT/OT asset discovery, vulnerability management, and threat detection; ISMS and PIMS services; social engineering; OIS- ISMS PIMS, and GHG emission reporting services. The company also offers products for ICT, networking, telecom, media and video, and information security. HwaCom Systems Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Hwacom Systems (6163) currently trades at 41.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.79 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 223.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 38.93 TWD per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the 41.40 TWD price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.22 TWD, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 9.13 TWD (bear) to 15.42 TWD (bull), the price of 41.40 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Hwacom Systems reported revenue of 6.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 105M TWD in FY2025, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.4B TWD (≈ $203M) · P/E ratio 45.0 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) 0.9200 TWD · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at −69%, 6163 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.13 TWD Fair Value 12.79 TWD Bull 15.42 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2496 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 46.54 TWD 59.28 TWD 74.47 TWD 82
Growth DCF 46.82 TWD 58.09 TWD 70.85 TWD 80
Owner Earnings 17.85 TWD 20.96 TWD 24.67 TWD 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 46.54 TWD 59.28 TWD 74.47 TWD 82
Owner Earnings 17.85 TWD 20.96 TWD 24.67 TWD 78
5Y Revenue Exit 29.31 TWD 34.05 TWD 39.30 TWD 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 32.01 TWD 38.93 TWD 46.32 TWD 77
5Y P/E Exit 31.15 TWD 37.37 TWD 43.37 TWD 72
10Y Revenue Exit 36.66 TWD 42.20 TWD 48.31 TWD 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 38.28 TWD 45.05 TWD 52.75 TWD 70
10Y P/E Exit 37.81 TWD 44.13 TWD 50.89 TWD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.81 TWD 12.79 TWD 16.72 TWD 65
PEG = 1.0 2.47 TWD 3.53 TWD 4.59 TWD 57
EPV 13.70 TWD 14.32 TWD 14.82 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.99 TWD 5.00 TWD 6.50 TWD 68
DDM Multi-Stage 2.99 TWD 4.22 TWD 5.28 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 11.68 TWD 15.57 TWD 19.47 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 9.02 TWD 12.03 TWD 15.04 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 9.02 TWD 12.03 TWD 15.04 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 18.29 TWD 21.53 TWD 24.77 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 22.03 TWD 26.51 TWD 31.00 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 15.94 TWD 19.10 TWD 22.26 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.37 TWD 12.56 TWD 18.75 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 46.82 TWD 58.09 TWD 70.85 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 29.31 TWD 34.88 TWD 41.37 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.58 TWD 12.11 TWD 9.57 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 13.70 TWD 14.32 TWD 14.82 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.13 TWD 13.05 TWD 16.96 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 2%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.3% a year for the price.

6163 screens 224% overvalued. Compare with Verizon Communications Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 24.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)28 · sector 76

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $47.32 $70.27 +48%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $165.35 $272.88 +65%
AT&T Inc T $25.45 $51.11 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,833 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.08 $32.49 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 656.50 CHF 505.18 −23%
Telstra Group TLS A$4.78 A$3.31 −31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hwacom Systems (6163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.79 TWD versus a price of 41.40 TWD, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6163?
Our model-based fair value for Hwacom Systems is 12.79 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 41.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6163?
Hwacom Systems has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.79 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.13 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.42 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hwacom Systems stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.79 TWD, about −69% upside versus a price of 41.40 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.13 TWD, optimistic scenario 15.42 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Hwacom Systems reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hwacom Systems pay a dividend?
Hwacom Systems currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hwacom Systems (6163)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hwacom Systems would have to grow free cash flow by -1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6163 use?
Our models discount Hwacom Systems at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hwacom Systems that is -1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hwacom Systems (6163) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hwacom Systems grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies -1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hwacom Systems (6163) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hwacom Systems (-1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.59 %: that much free cash flow Hwacom Systems produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hwacom Systems it is 12.79 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 41.40 TWD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hwacom Systems stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6163 trades above its calculated fair value: price 41.40 TWD, fair value 12.79 TWD, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6163?
No. The price is what the market pays today (41.40 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.79 TWD). For Hwacom Systems the two are 28.61 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hwacom Systems worth?
The market values Hwacom Systems at about 6.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 41.40 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 12.79 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6163?
Our models span a range for Hwacom Systems: cautious scenario 9.13 TWD, base 12.79 TWD, optimistic 15.42 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 41.40 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6163?
Hwacom Systems trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12.79 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 24.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hwacom Systems (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6163 from its 52-week high?
Hwacom Systems trades at 41.40 TWD, about 44% below its 52-week high of 74.10 TWD and 92% above the low of 21.60 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.79 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hwacom Systems?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, Bharti Airtel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hwacom Systems stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 41.40 TWD, calculated fair value 12.79 TWD (−69%), Quality Score 57/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6163 calculated?
We run Hwacom Systems through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12.79 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hwacom Systems itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 41.40 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 12.79 TWD, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hwacom Systems right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.42 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Hwacom Systems

How large is the market capitalisation of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The market capitalisation of Hwacom Systems is 6.4B TWD (≈ $203M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hwacom Systems is 0.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Earnings per share at Hwacom Systems are 0.9200 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The dividend yield of Hwacom Systems is 1.4% (payout 63.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The net margin of Hwacom Systems is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hwacom Systems is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hwacom Systems is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hwacom Systems (6163)?
The operating margin of Hwacom Systems is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Revenue at Hwacom Systems is growing +46.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hwacom Systems (6163)?
Earnings per share at Hwacom Systems are growing −91.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hwacom Systems (6163) carry?
The net debt of Hwacom Systems is 116M TWD (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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