China Feihe Limited (6186) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$25.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$4.86 to HK$4.87 (+0.2%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +10.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$3.01 to HK$6.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.80 – HK$16.75 · fair‑value band HK$3.01 – HK$6.72 · the HK$3.33 price screens below the HK$4.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
China Feihe Limited (6186) currently trades at HK$3.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.87, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Feihe Limited generated revenue of HK$18.1B at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$6.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.01 (bear case) to HK$6.72 (bull case); at HK$3.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 46%, 6186 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$4.19) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Feihe Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells dairy products, raw milk, and nutritional supplements in Mainland China, Canada, Indonesia, and the United States. It operates through two segments, Dairy Products and Nutritional Supplements Products; and Raw Milk.
Full company description
China Feihe Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells dairy products, raw milk, and nutritional supplements in Mainland China, Canada, Indonesia, and the United States. It operates through two segments, Dairy Products and Nutritional Supplements Products; and Raw Milk. The company offers dairy products adult milk powders; liquid milk products; and rice powder supplement products, as well as health care products. It also retails vitamins, minerals, herbs, and other nutritional supplements. The company sells its products distributors, retailers, e-commerce platforms, and end consumers through e-commerce channels. China Feihe Limited was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Feihe Limited reported revenue of HK$18.1B in FY2025 versus HK$22.8B in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.9B in FY2025, compounding −27.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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