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Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Evergrande Property Services Group HK$2.43, price HK$1.27, upside +92.1%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG3224K1022

EP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Evergrande Property Services Group

6666 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$2.43 · Strongly undervalued (+92%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/12)
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$13.96 HK$0.3750 Fair Value HK$2.43 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3750 – HK$13.96 · fair‑value band HK$1.73 – HK$3.03 · the HK$1.27 price screens below the HK$2.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Evergrande Property Services Group Limited provides property management services in China. It operates through Property Management Services, Community Living Services, Asset Management Services, and Community Operation Services segments. The company manages residential and commercial properties, industrial parks, hospitals, schools, and rail transit.

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Evergrande Property Services Group Limited provides property management services in China. It operates through Property Management Services, Community Living Services, Asset Management Services, and Community Operation Services segments. The company manages residential and commercial properties, industrial parks, hospitals, schools, and rail transit. It also offers city public services; and butler, sales office management, security, project maintenance, and cleaning and gardening services. In addition, the company provides community asset operation services comprising parking escrow and sublease, house leasing, second-hand property transaction assistance, and housing trust services; park space leasing services consisting of community space and all-media leasing; community innovation services, such as community group purchase, direct drinking water supply, one-stop services, and ecological communities; and community life services, including home decoration and household management services. Further, it engages in the provision of security order maintenance, environmental management, customer, and equipment operation and maintenance services; and space asset management, large-scale event support, smart platform, pre-project, investment operation, and leasing and selling services. Additionally, the company provides facility and environment management, intelligent security and vehicle management, exhibition hall management, and accommodation in parks, as well as conference reception, event planning, venue leasing, and business consulting; and urban infrastructure, greening landscape maintenance, road maintenance, order and emergency management, public resource management, cultural and sports venue property management, sports event support, and urban innovation services. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) currently trades at HK$1.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.43, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.20 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$1.27 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$1.20, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.73 (bear) to HK$3.03 (bull), the price of HK$1.27 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Evergrande Property Services Group reported revenue of 13.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 961M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$13.7B (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 7.4 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 69.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.5% · Operating margin 11.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 92%, 6666 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.73 Fair Value HK$2.43 Bull HK$3.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0294 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.51 HK$2.06 HK$2.81 81
Growth DCF HK$1.52 HK$1.98 HK$2.58 80
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.82 HK$2.76 HK$3.87 75
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.51 HK$2.06 HK$2.81 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.52 HK$2.20 HK$3.08 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.82 HK$2.76 HK$3.87 75
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.48 HK$2.06 HK$2.87 67
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.68 HK$2.42 HK$3.43 68
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$1.13 HK$1.51 HK$1.89 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2200 HK$0.3000 HK$0.3700 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.55 HK$3.27 HK$3.99 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.21 HK$2.81 HK$3.42 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.59 HK$2.09 HK$2.60 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.52 HK$1.98 HK$2.58 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.52 HK$2.20 HK$3.00 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.6900 HK$1.20 HK$24.24 58

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 11%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +92% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 236,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $141.05 $89.43 −37%
Vonovia SE VNA €17.09 €36.67 +115%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.33 €23.78 −6%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.78 HK$17.18 −60%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $324.06 $530.17 +64%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$13.50 −45%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.77 $6.17 −79%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.44 HK$56.43 +51%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.62 SGD 0.5000 SGD −81%

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HK$2.43 +48%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Evergrande Property Services Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6666

Frequently asked questions

Is Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.43 versus a price of HK$1.27, about +92% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6666?
Our model-based fair value for Evergrande Property Services Group is HK$2.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.27.
What is the quality score of 6666?
Evergrande Property Services Group has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.73, optimistic scenario HK$3.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Evergrande Property Services Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.43, about +92% upside versus a price of HK$1.27 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.73, optimistic scenario HK$3.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Evergrande Property Services Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Evergrande Property Services Group would have to grow free cash flow by -7.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6666 use?
Our models discount Evergrande Property Services Group at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Evergrande Property Services Group that is -7.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Evergrande Property Services Group grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies -7.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Evergrande Property Services Group (-7.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.92 %: that much free cash flow Evergrande Property Services Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Evergrande Property Services Group it is HK$2.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.27. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Evergrande Property Services Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6666 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.27, fair value HK$2.43, a gap of about +92% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6666?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.43). For Evergrande Property Services Group the two are HK$1.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Evergrande Property Services Group worth?
The market values Evergrande Property Services Group at about HK$13.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.27; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6666?
Our models span a range for Evergrande Property Services Group: cautious scenario HK$1.73, base HK$2.43, optimistic HK$3.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6666?
Evergrande Property Services Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Balance-sheet figures for Evergrande Property Services Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 69.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6666 from its 52-week high?
Evergrande Property Services Group trades at HK$1.27, about 24% below its 52-week high of HK$1.66 and 73% above the low of HK$0.7300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Evergrande Property Services Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Evergrande Property Services Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.27, calculated fair value HK$2.43 (+92%), Quality Score 67/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6666 calculated?
We run Evergrande Property Services Group through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Evergrande Property Services Group currently trades 92 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.27. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.43, about +92% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Evergrande Property Services Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.73). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Evergrande Property Services Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The market capitalisation of Evergrande Property Services Group is HK$13.7B (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Evergrande Property Services Group is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Earnings per share at Evergrande Property Services Group are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The net margin of Evergrande Property Services Group is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Evergrande Property Services Group is 69.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Evergrande Property Services Group is 16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
The operating margin of Evergrande Property Services Group is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Revenue at Evergrande Property Services Group is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Evergrande Property Services Group (6666)?
Earnings per share at Evergrande Property Services Group are growing +6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Evergrande Property Services Group (6666) hold?
Evergrande Property Services Group holds more cash than debt, 4.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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