Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co (6863) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 7.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +42.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (75.11 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range 87.00 TWD – 292.10 TWD · fair‑value band 52.41 TWD – 75.11 TWD · the 132.50 TWD price screens above the 60.09 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co (6863) currently trades at 132.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 60.09 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co generated revenue of 4.0B TWD at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 165M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 52.41 TWD (bear case) to 75.11 TWD (bull case); at 132.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -55%, 6863 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (98.95 TWD) versus Asset-Based (53.21 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and trades radio-frequency identification system in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
Full company description
Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and trades radio-frequency identification system in Taiwan, China, and internationally. It offers various hardware products, software system development; product distribution, technical consulting, peripheral system integration, and R&D services; investment and holding. The company was founded in 2021 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands. Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of YFY Global Investment B.V.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co reported revenue of 4.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 225M TWD in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
6863 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 625 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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