Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co stock TWD 84.12, price TWD 89.80, that is 6.3% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range 85.81 TWD – 288.10 TWD · fair‑value band 58.32 TWD – 105.16 TWD · the 89.80 TWD price screens above the 84.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and trades radio-frequency identification system in Taiwan, China, and internationally.
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It offers various hardware products, software system development; product distribution, technical consulting, peripheral system integration, and R&D services; investment and holding. The company was founded in 2021 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
Arizon RFID Technology (Cayman) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of YFY Global Investment B.V.
Stock analysis
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) currently trades at 89.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 84.12 TWD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 99.46 TWD per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the 89.80 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 21.71 TWD, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 58.32 TWD (bear) to 105.16 TWD (bull), the price of 89.80 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co reported revenue of 4.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 225M TWD in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.7B TWD (≈ $205M) Micro · P/E ratio 31.8 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) 2.82 TWD · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −6%, 6863 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear58.32 TWDFair Value 84.12 TWDBull105.16 TWD
Price 89.80 TWD · Downside -6.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.13 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.1% a year for the price.
Compare Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−6.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)12.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)65.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6863
Frequently asked questions
Is Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 84.12 TWD versus a price of 89.80 TWD, about 6% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 6863?
Our model-based fair value for Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 84.12 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 89.80 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6863?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 84.12 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 58.32 TWD, optimistic scenario 105.16 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 84.12 TWD, about 6% lower versus a price of 89.80 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 58.32 TWD, optimistic scenario 105.16 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co pay a dividend?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co currently shows a dividend yield of 1.67% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co pays a dividend of 1.50 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 24, 2026. The payout ratio is 49.7% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 53.2%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.08 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co would have to grow free cash flow by +34.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.1 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6863 use?
Our models discount Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co that is +34.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co grew +18.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +34.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (+34.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.80 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co it is 84.12 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 89.80 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6863 trades above its calculated fair value: price 89.80 TWD, fair value 84.12 TWD, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6863?
No. The price is what the market pays today (89.80 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (84.12 TWD). For Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co the two are 5.68 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co worth?
The market values Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co at about 6.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 89.80 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 84.12 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6863?
Our models span a range for Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co: cautious scenario 58.32 TWD, base 84.12 TWD, optimistic 105.16 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 89.80 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6863?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.8 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 84.12 TWD is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 29.9 (reported for FY2025: 32.0). Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6863 from its 52-week high?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co trades at 89.80 TWD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 135.00 TWD and 5% above the low of 85.81 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 84.12 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 89.80 TWD, calculated fair value 84.12 TWD (−6%), Quality Score 41/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6863 calculated?
We run Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 84.12 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 89.80 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 84.12 TWD, about 6% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (58.32 TWD to 105.16 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The market capitalisation of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 6.7B TWD (≈ $205M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 1.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Earnings per share at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co are 2.82 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The dividend yield of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 1.7% (payout 49.7%, on adjusted earnings, reported 53.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The net margin of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 4.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
The operating margin of Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Revenue at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co is growing +65.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863)?
Earnings per share at Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co are growing −75.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co (6863) hold?
Arizon RFID Tech (Cayman) Co holds more cash than debt, 165M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 8, 2026