Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd TWD 12.27, price TWD 124, upside -90.1%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range 27.53 TWD – 185.26 TWD · fair‑value band 9.05 TWD – 12.27 TWD · the 123.50 TWD price screens above the 12.27 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, sales, and testing of intelligent detection function automation equipment for semiconductor and optoelectronics manufacturers in Taiwan, Japan, Singapore, and China. It offers automation, AOI testing, OEM heating equipment, and others.
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Hye Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacturing, sales, and testing of intelligent detection function automation equipment for semiconductor and optoelectronics manufacturers in Taiwan, Japan, Singapore, and China. It offers automation, AOI testing, OEM heating equipment, and others. The company also provides automated packaging and testing, wafer micro inspection, optoelectronic machines, PCB, smart manufacturing products, and LCD thermal processing equipment; and plans fully/semi-automatic inspection and measurement systems, automation equipment planning, AOI/AVI machine vision planning, and semiconductor quality inspection systems. In addition, it offers maintenance services. Hye Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2014 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877) currently trades at 123.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 906.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 13.58 TWD per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the 123.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 3.79 TWD, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 9.05 TWD (bear) to 12.27 TWD (bull), the price of 123.50 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd reported revenue of 481M TWD in FY2025 versus 429M TWD in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 27.5M TWD in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 5.8B TWD (≈ $183M) · P/E ratio 209.3 · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) 0.5900 TWD · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −83.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −90%, 6877 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 9.05 TWDFair Value 12.27 TWDBull 12.27 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4300 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 1%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 214 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.27 TWD versus a price of 123.50 TWD, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6877?
Our model-based fair value for Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is 12.27 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 123.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6877?
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.27 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.05 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.27 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hye Technology Co.,Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.27 TWD, about −90% upside versus a price of 123.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.05 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.27 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 391M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hye Technology Co.,Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6877 use?
Our models discount Hye Technology Co.,Ltd at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hye Technology Co.,Ltd that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.18 %: that much free cash flow Hye Technology Co.,Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hye Technology Co.,Ltd it is 12.27 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 123.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hye Technology Co.,Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 6877 trades above its calculated fair value: price 123.50 TWD, fair value 12.27 TWD, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6877?
No. The price is what the market pays today (123.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.27 TWD). For Hye Technology Co.,Ltd the two are 111.23 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hye Technology Co.,Ltd worth?
The market values Hye Technology Co.,Ltd at about 5.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 123.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 12.27 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6877?
Our models span a range for Hye Technology Co.,Ltd: cautious scenario 9.05 TWD, base 12.27 TWD, optimistic 12.27 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 123.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6877?
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 209.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12.27 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6877 from its 52-week high?
Hye Technology Co.,Ltd trades at 123.50 TWD, about 38% below its 52-week high of 198.00 TWD and 73% above the low of 71.28 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.27 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hye Technology Co.,Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hye Technology Co.,Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 123.50 TWD, calculated fair value 12.27 TWD (−90%), Quality Score 38/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6877 calculated?
We run Hye Technology Co.,Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12.27 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Hye Technology Co.,Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 123.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 12.27 TWD, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hye Technology Co.,Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.27 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The market capitalisation of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is 5.8B TWD (≈ $183M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is 12.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Earnings per share at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd are 0.5900 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 209.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The net margin of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is 1.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
The operating margin of Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is −83.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Revenue at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd is growing −69.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd (6877)?
Earnings per share at Hye Technology Co.,Ltd are growing −2.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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