Raytron Technology Co (688002) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 63.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥39.97 to ¥39.80 (−0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥103.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥29.85 to ¥103.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.77 – ¥155.51 · fair‑value band ¥29.85 – ¥103.55 · the ¥155.51 price screens above the ¥39.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Raytron Technology Co (688002) currently trades at ¥155.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥39.80, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Raytron Technology Co generated revenue of 7.1B CNY at a net margin of 20.5%. Revenue grew 71.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.6%. Net debt stands at 388M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥29.85 (bear case) to ¥103.55 (bull case); at ¥155.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -74%, 688002 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥105.60) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Raytron Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, manufacturing, and sales of uncooled infrared imagining, MEMS sensor, and image processing algorithms technology in China.
Full company description
Raytron Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, manufacturing, and sales of uncooled infrared imagining, MEMS sensor, and image processing algorithms technology in China. The company provides driving assistant, infrared imaging, and vacuum packaging products; MEMS design services for sensors; and ASIC, analog, and Hybrid IP design services. Its products are used in security and firefighting, such as security surveillance, thermal cameras, and airport monitoring system; medical health for infrared thermal imaging; ADAS for car safety; emergency response for outdoor search and rescue, and survivor detection; satellite communication for 5G communications; consumer electronics, including outdoor optical equipment, such as handheld thermal imagers, digital binoculars, and night vision scope; low-altitude operations; intelligent robots; space communication for enabling inter-satellite, ground-to-satellite, and ground-to-ground wireless links; scientific research innovation for astronomy, geology, and meteorology; and carbon neutrality for industrial monitoring, gas-leak detection, and new-energy, as well as chemical applications. The company also exports its products to Europe and North America. Raytron Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Yantai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Raytron Technology Co reported revenue of ¥6.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound +37.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +24.3%/yr from FY2021.
688002 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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