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ACM Research Shanghai Inc (688082) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 145B CNY (≈ $21.6B) · ISIN CNE100004ZD8

What is ACM Research Shanghai Inc really worth?

AR ACM Research Shanghai Inc 688082 · SHG
Price¥284.81
Fair Value¥57.62
Upside−79.8%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 394% above our fair value of ¥57.62.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 18.0% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +46.4 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.22% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥29.75 – ¥70.53

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥70.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥29.75 to ¥70.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥447.95 ¥68.28 Fair Value ¥57.62 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range ¥68.28 – ¥447.95 · fair‑value band ¥29.75 – ¥70.53 · the ¥284.81 price screens above the ¥57.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

ACM Research Shanghai Inc (688082) currently trades at ¥284.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥57.62, implying the stock looks roughly 394.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥146.19 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥284.81 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥9.62, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, ACM Research Shanghai Inc generated revenue of 7.0B CNY at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥29.75 (bear case) to ¥70.53 (bull case); at ¥284.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 174% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −71% fair-value upside, at −80%, 688082 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.40 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥9.62 to ¥146.19). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence ¥29.77 ¥33.44 ¥36.65 74
Residual Income ¥24.73 ¥27.74 ¥50.92 71
ROIC Compounder ¥32.39 ¥42.40 ¥52.39 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥41.46 ¥84.48 ¥174.77 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥19.67 ¥137.17 ¥192.50 61
Lynch FV ¥70.87 ¥101.24 ¥131.61 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥70.87 ¥101.24 ¥131.61 55
EPV best evidence ¥29.77 ¥33.44 ¥36.65 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.48 ¥11.40 ¥18.09 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.48 ¥9.62 ¥11.97 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥60.74 ¥80.99 ¥101.24 63
P/S Multiple ¥36.88 ¥49.17 ¥61.47 58
P/B Multiple ¥36.88 ¥49.17 ¥61.47 55
EV/EBIT ¥54.00 ¥69.42 ¥84.83 66
EV/EBITDA ¥46.48 ¥59.39 ¥72.31 67
EV/Revenue ¥31.13 ¥41.15 ¥51.17 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥13.96 ¥18.70 ¥27.91 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥24.73 ¥27.74 ¥50.92 71
ROIC Compounder ¥32.39 ¥42.40 ¥52.39 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥102.33 ¥146.19 ¥190.05 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥146.19) versus Dividend Discount (¥9.62). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 104.3
P/S ratio 21.5 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥2.73 price ÷ EPS = P/E 104.3
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 22.8%
Net margin 20.6% FY2025
Return on equity 11.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 15.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 7.0B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.1% 3y avg +33.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −62.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −238M CNY FY2025
Net cash 2.9B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ACM Research (Shanghai), Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of semiconductor equipment in China. The company offers cleaning equipment; plating system and panel level packaging; furnace system; track systems; PECVD systems; and stress free polishing systems.

Full company description

ACM Research (Shanghai), Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of semiconductor equipment in China. The company offers cleaning equipment; plating system and panel level packaging; furnace system; track systems; PECVD systems; and stress free polishing systems. It serves IC and compound semi manufacturing, wafer-level and panel level packaging, and wafer manufacturing and reclaim industries. ACM Research (Shanghai), Inc. was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, China. ACM Research (Shanghai), Inc. operates as a subsidiary of ACM Research, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ACM Research Shanghai Inc reported revenue of 6.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +43.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +51.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+20.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+39.8% (39.6 + 0.2)
Revenue +43.0%/yr
FY21 1.6B CNY
FY22 2.9B CNY
FY23 3.9B CNY
FY24 5.6B CNY
FY25 6.8B CNY
Net income +51.3%/yr
FY21 266M CNY
FY22 668M CNY
FY23 911M CNY
FY24 1.2B CNY
FY25 1.4B CNY

688082 screens 394% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ACM Research Shanghai Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688082

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 104.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 10.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 20.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE66 · sector 67
PAST46 · sector 30
HEALTH96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND4 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,494 €604.27 −60%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $482.36 $183.10 −62%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $301.90 $91.80 −70%
KLA Corporation KLAC $175.54 $74.58 −58%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥707.90 ¥205.30 −71%
Teradyne, Inc TER $354.97 $65.80 −81%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥380.95 ¥55.05 −86%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥685.11 ¥89.27 −87%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,445 TWD 1,804 TWD −72%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥284.80 ¥46.26 −84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ACM Research Shanghai Inc (688082) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥57.62 versus a price of ¥284.81, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688082?
Our model-based fair value for ACM Research Shanghai Inc is ¥57.62 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥284.81.
What is the quality score of 688082?
ACM Research Shanghai Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ACM Research Shanghai Inc (688082)?
ACM Research Shanghai Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688082?
The net profit margin of ACM Research Shanghai Inc is about 18.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ACM Research Shanghai Inc pay a dividend?
ACM Research Shanghai Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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