Smartgiant Technology Co (688115) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥6.96 to ¥29.54 (+324.4%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥41.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥16.25 to ¥41.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥12.25 – ¥59.20 · fair‑value band ¥16.25 – ¥41.00 · the ¥53.46 price screens above the ¥29.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
Smartgiant Technology Co (688115) currently trades at ¥53.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.54, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smartgiant Technology Co generated revenue of 299M CNY at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 130.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥16.25 (bear case) to ¥41.00 (bull case); at ¥53.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -45%, 688115 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥9.09) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.64). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smartgiant Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of industrial automation testing products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Smartgiant Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of industrial automation testing products in China and internationally. The company offers Nysa modular instruments, including FPGA control modules, embedded and plug-in instrument modules, and testing software tools; test and measurement instruments, such as data acquisition, high precision and speed signals, RF signal, and comprehensive testing; AI visual products comprising Horus AI camera, industrial barcode scanner, and AI visual devices; and industrial products, which include controllers and I/O modules, industrial communication devices, and human-machine interface. It also provides various solutions, such as verification, prototyping, and mass production, as well as test and measurement, AI vision systems, biopharmaceutical, and customization use cases; and design, solution, and production services. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Smartgiant Technology Co reported revenue of ¥258M in FY2025 versus ¥222M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥10.0M in FY2025.
688115 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 164 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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