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Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥3.48, price ¥22.62, upside -84.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE1000042P0

RE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A

688156 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.48 · Strongly overvalued (−84.6%)
!Quality 33/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -14.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥39.84 ¥10.04 Fair Value ¥3.48 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.04 – ¥39.84 · fair‑value band ¥2.23 – ¥4.74 · the ¥22.62 price screens above the ¥3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Road Biology Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides solid wastewater treatment and disposal services in China. It offers river and lake slit, engineering mud, industrial slag and sludge, and municipal sludge treatment services. The company was formerly known as Road Environment Technology Co.,Ltd.

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Road Biology Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. provides solid wastewater treatment and disposal services in China. It offers river and lake slit, engineering mud, industrial slag and sludge, and municipal sludge treatment services. The company was formerly known as Road Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Road Biology Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. in December 2024. Road Biology Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Wuhan, China.

Stock analysis

Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156) currently trades at ¥22.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.48, 84.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.03 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥22.62 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.30, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.23 (bear) to ¥4.74 (bull), the price of ¥22.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 380M CNY in FY2025 versus 382M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −70.1M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.3B CNY (≈ $340M) · P/S ratio 4.98 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6000 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −18.4% · Return on equity −6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 20.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −85%, 688156 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.23 Fair Value ¥3.48 Bull ¥4.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.53 ¥2.76 ¥3.80 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.53 ¥2.30 ¥2.95 67
EV/EBITDA ¥4.78 ¥6.03 ¥7.29 67
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.53 ¥2.76 ¥3.80 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.53 ¥2.30 ¥2.95 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥4.78 ¥6.03 ¥7.29 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.79 ¥5.07 ¥7.57 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.3% (2020) → −5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688156 screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 61 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −84.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −14.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 74.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 60
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688156

Frequently asked questions

Is Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.48 versus a price of ¥22.62, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688156?
Our model-based fair value for Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥3.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.62.
What is the quality score of 688156?
Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.23, optimistic scenario ¥4.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.48, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥22.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.23, optimistic scenario ¥4.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 427M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥3.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥22.62. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688156 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥22.62, fair value ¥3.48, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688156?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.48). For Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥19.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 2.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.62; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688156?
Our models span a range for Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥2.23, base ¥3.48, optimistic ¥4.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥22.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Balance-sheet figures for Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.8%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688156 from its 52-week high?
Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥22.62, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥32.59 and 50% above the low of ¥15.05 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Guangdong Investment Limited, Grandblue Environment Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥22.62, calculated fair value ¥3.48 (−85%), Quality Score 33/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688156 calculated?
We run Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥22.62. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.48, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥2.23 to ¥4.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The market capitalisation of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 2.3B CNY (≈ $340M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Earnings per share at Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.6000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The dividend yield of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The net margin of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is −18.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is −6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
The operating margin of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Revenue at Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +74.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156)?
Earnings per share at Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +1,000% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156) generate?
The free cash flow of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is −132M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A (688156) carry?
The net debt of Road Environment Technology Co. Ltd. A is 155M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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