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Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co (688210) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY

SP Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co 688210 · SHG
Price¥28.93
Fair Value¥14.06
Upside-51.4%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.80 – ¥17.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥7.04 to ¥14.06 (+99.7%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −20.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥64.36 ¥10.67 Fair Value ¥14.06 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥10.67 – ¥64.36 · fair‑value band ¥10.80 – ¥17.32 · the ¥28.93 price screens above the ¥14.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co (688210) currently trades at ¥28.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.06, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 857M CNY at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.80 (bear case) to ¥17.32 (bull case); at ¥28.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -66% fair-value upside, at -51%, 688210 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥3.28 ¥3.71 ¥4.09 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.11 ¥4.20 ¥6.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.11 ¥3.63 ¥4.43 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥3.28 ¥3.71 ¥4.09 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.11 ¥4.20 ¥6.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.11 ¥3.63 ¥4.43 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥5.41 ¥7.04 ¥8.67 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.76 ¥14.17 ¥17.59 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.01 ¥5.51 ¥7.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.96 ¥5.31 ¥7.93 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥3.28 ¥3.71 ¥4.09 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.04) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.63). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 857M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net margin -0.5%
Return on equity -0.4%
Free cash flow −93.9M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -21.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -88.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of precision components in China. It offers metal injection molding precision components and precision component solutions.

Full company description

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the research, design, development, production, and sale of precision components in China. It offers metal injection molding precision components and precision component solutions. The company's products are primarily used in automotive, and health and medical industries, as well as new consumer electronics and smart products. It also exports its products. Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥857M in FY2025 versus ¥355M in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥4.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
857M CNY
Latest YoY
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.8%
Revenue +24.7%/yr
FY21 ¥355M
FY22 ¥509M
FY23 ¥562M
FY24 ¥814M
FY25 ¥857M
Net income
FY21 ¥47.4M
FY22 ¥94.9M
FY23 ¥58.8M
FY24 ¥74.6M
FY25 −¥4.7M

688210 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688210

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 246 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 34
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co (688210) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.06 versus a price of ¥28.93, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688210?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co is ¥14.06 (as of Aug 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥28.93.
What is the quality score of 688210?
Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co (688210)?
Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 857M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688210?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Pacific Union Precision Manufacturing Co is about -0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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