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Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co (688231) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.5B CNY

JL Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co 688231 · SHG
Price¥29.69
Fair Value¥8.12
Upside-72.7%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.08 – ¥8.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −22.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.08 to ¥8.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥53.94 ¥10.97 Fair Value ¥8.12 Jul 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range ¥10.97 – ¥53.94 · fair‑value band ¥4.08 – ¥8.12 · the ¥29.69 price screens above the ¥8.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co (688231) currently trades at ¥29.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.12, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 64.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at 237M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.08 (bear case) to ¥8.12 (bull case); at ¥29.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -73%, 688231 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.10 ¥7.92 ¥6.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.90 ¥4.40 ¥4.83 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.82 ¥5.86 ¥9.29 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.04 ¥14.22 ¥19.96 54
Lynch FV ¥5.92 ¥8.46 ¥11.00 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.92 ¥8.46 ¥11.00 46
EPV ¥3.90 ¥4.40 ¥4.83 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.82 ¥5.86 ¥9.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.82 ¥4.94 ¥6.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.82 ¥5.10 ¥6.37 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.82 ¥5.10 ¥6.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.82 ¥5.10 ¥6.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.08 ¥6.46 ¥7.84 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.97 ¥7.65 ¥9.33 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.52 ¥6.06 ¥7.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.59 ¥7.49 ¥11.18 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.10 ¥7.92 ¥6.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.90 ¥4.40 ¥4.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.85 ¥9.79 ¥12.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.79) versus Economic Profit (¥4.40). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +64.7%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow −266M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 114.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3700
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +58.3%
Net debt 237M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of alloy and superalloy materials in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of alloy and superalloy materials in China and internationally. The company offers superalloy rod, wrought superalloy, high temperature cast master alloy, and IN718; nickel base alloy tube, U type nickel base alloy tube, and nickel base alloy sheet; and copper-nickel alloy coil, copper-nickel alloy flange forging, large caliber copper-nickel pipe, and alloy tube series. It also provides heat exchanger pipes, high fin tube, finned stainless steel tube, corrugated pipe, and falling film evaporation tube; and CD tube. In addition, the company offers deformed high-temperature alloys; high-speed rail ground wire alloy pipes; high-efficiency pipes; and brass pipes. Its products are used in aerospace, generator sets, large ships, sea water desalination, nuclear industry and petrochemical equipment, and other fields. Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Wuxi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥726M in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥74.0M in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+33.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.9%
Revenue +26.4%/yr
FY21 ¥726M
FY22 ¥952M
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.9B
Net income +1.3%/yr
FY21 ¥70.2M
FY22 ¥94.4M
FY23 ¥55.4M
FY24 ¥66.1M
FY25 ¥74.0M

688231 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688231

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 65% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 114.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.04× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 55.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 13 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co (688231) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.12 versus a price of ¥29.69, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688231?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co is ¥8.12 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.69.
What is the quality score of 688231?
Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co (688231)?
Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688231?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Longda Superalloy Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.63% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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