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Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd stock ¥3.48, price ¥15.98, upside -78.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities CN · ISIN CNE100004NY0

ZH Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd

688296 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 78% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 49/100
Fair value ¥3.48 · Strongly overvalued (−78.2%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.3 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -24.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥55.14 ¥7.83 Fair Value ¥3.48 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.83 – ¥55.14 · fair‑value band ¥2.30 – ¥4.35 · the ¥15.98 price screens above the ¥3.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhejiang Heda Technology Co., Ltd. operates in the water industry in China.

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The company offers offerings include smart IoT hardware products such as intelligent telemetry terminals, IoT-enabled remote data acquisition modules, leakage warning devices, and ultrasonic water meters, as well as software platforms like IoT platforms, smart water portals, production scheduling systems, metering management systems, zoned leakage control systems, and hydraulic modeling systems.

The company also provides consulting, design, training, information security, contract water conservation, operation and maintenance, and SaaS services.

In addition, it offers one-stop procurement solutions for water industrial products, smart supply chain cloud services, equipment maintenance cloud services, procurement solution services, and content knowledge services.

Further, it engages in research and development of water industry algorithms, hydraulic models, big data, and artificial intelligence; provides consulting, design, construction, and operation services for water leakage management; develops and operates information systems for the drainage industry; produces and sells agricultural drinking water equipment; and delivers sales and construction services for water-related IoT products.

The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.

Stock analysis

Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296) currently trades at ¥15.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.48, 78.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥2.30 (bear) to ¥4.35 (bull), the price of ¥15.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 307M CNY in FY2025 versus 507M CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −65.5M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7B CNY (≈ $258M) Micro · P/S ratio 5.98 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −24.8% · Return on equity −12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin −22.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −78%, 688296 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.30 Fair Value ¥3.48 Bull ¥4.35
Price ¥15.98 · Upside -78.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.30 ¥3.48 ¥4.35 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.30 ¥3.48 ¥4.35 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 97
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 99
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 36
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 72
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 36
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 93
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
23.5% (2020) → −20.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688296 screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −24.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −22.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −5.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)1 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥31.35 ¥57.09 +82% vs 688296
Zhongshan Public Utilities Group 000685 ¥10.37 ¥14.39 +39% vs 688296
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥6.97 ¥9.09 +30% vs 688296
Beijing Capital Eco-Environment Protection Group 600008 ¥2.75 ¥3.43 +25% vs 688296
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥4.09 ¥2.39 −42% vs 688296
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $42.64 $23.31 −45% vs 688296
California Water Service Group CWT $47.82 $25.01 −48% vs 688296
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $61.04 $31.84 −48% vs 688296
American Water Works Company AWK $139.79 $64.66 −54% vs 688296
American States Water Company AWR $85.35 $38.44 −55% vs 688296

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Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥3.48 −78%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688296

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.48 versus a price of ¥15.98, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688296?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is ¥3.48 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.98.
What is the quality score of 688296?
Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.48 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.30, optimistic scenario ¥4.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.48, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥15.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.30, optimistic scenario ¥4.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 309M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd it is ¥3.48 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of ¥15.98. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, 688296 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.98, fair value ¥3.48, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688296?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.48). For Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥12.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd at about 1.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688296?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.30, base ¥3.48, optimistic ¥4.35 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price ¥15.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −12.2%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688296 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥15.98, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥28.70 and 41% above the low of ¥11.36 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price ¥15.98, calculated fair value ¥3.48 (−78%), Quality Score 49/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688296 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was ¥15.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.48, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥2.30 to ¥4.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is 1.7B CNY (≈ $258M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is 5.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.7200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is −24.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is −12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is −22.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is growing −5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd are growing −91.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd is −24.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd (688296) hold?
Zhejiang Heda Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 304M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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