iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of iRay Technology Co Ltd ¥35.09, price ¥95.95, upside -63.4%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥41.39 – ¥145.74 · fair‑value band ¥25.68 – ¥44.49 · the ¥95.95 price screens above the ¥35.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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iRay Group, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and services x-ray system components and micro-display backplanes for use in medical, dental, oncology, veterinary, security, and nondestructive testing applications in China and internationally.
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iRay Group, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, sells, and services x-ray system components and micro-display backplanes for use in medical, dental, oncology, veterinary, security, and nondestructive testing applications in China and internationally. The company offers wireless and tethered radiography, mammography, and dynamic/real-time detectors; linear detector arrays; X-ray and micro focus X-ray sources; high voltage generators; radiation detecting materials; software; and other products. It is also involved in the technology and product development; customer service; and investment and management activities. The company exports its products to approximately 80 countries. The company was formerly known as iRay Technology Company Limited and changed its name to iRay Group in February 2025. iRay Group was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301) currently trades at ¥95.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.09, implying the stock looks roughly 173.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥69.48 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥95.95 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥10.39, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥25.68 (bear) to ¥44.49 (bull), the price of ¥95.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
iRay Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was 661M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 30.2B CNY (≈ $4.5B) · P/E ratio 42.1 · P/S ratio 12.1 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.28 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 28.8% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −63%, 688301 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥25.68Fair Value ¥35.09Bull ¥44.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.15 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 30%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Instruments & Supplies · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.61× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)42.1× · Pricier than median
P/B4.98× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)12.30× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA34.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)46· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)69· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "iRay Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688301
Frequently asked questions
Is iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥35.09 versus a price of ¥95.95, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688301?
Our model-based fair value for iRay Technology Co Ltd is ¥35.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥95.95.
What is the quality score of 688301?
iRay Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥35.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥25.68, optimistic scenario ¥44.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the iRay Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥35.09, about −63% upside versus a price of ¥95.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥25.68, optimistic scenario ¥44.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
iRay Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does iRay Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
iRay Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For iRay Technology Co Ltd it is ¥35.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥95.95. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is iRay Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688301 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥95.95, fair value ¥35.09, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688301?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥95.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥35.09). For iRay Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥60.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is iRay Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values iRay Technology Co Ltd at about 30.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥95.95; our models calculate a fair value of ¥35.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688301?
Our models span a range for iRay Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥25.68, base ¥35.09, optimistic ¥44.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥95.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688301?
iRay Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥35.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.0, P/S 12.3, EV/EBITDA 34.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Balance-sheet figures for iRay Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688301 from its 52-week high?
iRay Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥95.95, about 34% below its 52-week high of ¥145.74 and 40% above the low of ¥68.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥35.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to iRay Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Intuitive Surgical, Inc, EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme, Medline Inc, Becton, Dickinson and Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is iRay Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥95.95, calculated fair value ¥35.09 (−63%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688301 calculated?
We run iRay Technology Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥35.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. iRay Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥95.95. Our model-based fair value is ¥35.09, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with iRay Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥44.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of iRay Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The market capitalisation of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 30.2B CNY (≈ $4.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The price-to-sales ratio of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 12.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Earnings per share at iRay Technology Co Ltd are ¥2.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The dividend yield of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 0.7% (payout 31.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The net margin of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 28.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The return on equity (ROE) of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
The operating margin of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 32.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Revenue at iRay Technology Co Ltd is growing +42.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301)?
Earnings per share at iRay Technology Co Ltd are growing +15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301) generate?
The free cash flow of iRay Technology Co Ltd is −384M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does iRay Technology Co Ltd (688301) carry?
The net debt of iRay Technology Co Ltd is 796M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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