Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd ¥0.68, price ¥4.17, upside -83.7%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.68 – ¥8.26 · fair‑value band ¥0.4500 – ¥0.8500 · the ¥4.17 price screens above the ¥0.6800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and application of surveying and mapping geographical information technology services in China. The company operates in three segments: Surveying and Mapping Geographic Information, Underground Pipe Network, and Smart City.
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Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, and application of surveying and mapping geographical information technology services in China. The company operates in three segments: Surveying and Mapping Geographic Information, Underground Pipe Network, and Smart City. It offers smart city construction and operation business company; technical services for underground pipeline network safety operation and maintenance; and surveying and mapping geographic information technology service. The company serves urban construction, planning, land, railway, transportation, water conservancy, environmental protection, agriculture, forestry, marine, and other industries. Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is based in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509) currently trades at ¥4.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 513.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9900 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥4.17 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.2500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4500 (bear) to ¥0.8500 (bull), the price of ¥4.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 587M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.8%/yr. Reported net income was −170M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $479M) · P/S ratio 6.26 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −29.0% · Return on equity −14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −31.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −84%, 688509 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.4500Fair Value ¥0.6800Bull ¥0.8500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → −30.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−31% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.42× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.92× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)14· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688509
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6800 versus a price of ¥4.17, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688509?
Our model-based fair value for Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is ¥0.6800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.17.
What is the quality score of 688509?
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥0.8500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6800, about −84% upside versus a price of ¥4.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 520M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd it is ¥0.6800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.17. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688509 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.17, fair value ¥0.6800, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688509?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6800). For Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd the two are ¥3.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.17; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688509?
Our models span a range for Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4500, base ¥0.6800, optimistic ¥0.8500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688509 from its 52-week high?
Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd trades at ¥4.17, about 34% below its 52-week high of ¥6.32 and 13% above the low of ¥3.69 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.17, calculated fair value ¥0.6800 (−84%), Quality Score 41/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688509 calculated?
We run Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.6800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥4.17. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.6800, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.4500 to ¥0.8500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The market capitalisation of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is 3.2B CNY (≈ $479M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is 6.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Earnings per share at Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The dividend yield of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The net margin of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is −29.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is −14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
The operating margin of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is −31.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Revenue at Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is growing −28.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509)?
Earnings per share at Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd are growing −64.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is −11.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd (688509) carry?
The net debt of Zhengyuan Geomatics Group Co Ltd is 446M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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