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Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co (688538) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 31.8B CNY

EO Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co 688538 · SHG
Price¥2.40
Fair Value¥0.8200
Upside-65.8%
Quality34/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -35.1% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.3500 – ¥1.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥1.88 to ¥0.8200 (−56.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.3500 to ¥1.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.20 ¥1.94 Fair Value ¥0.8200 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.94 – ¥4.20 · fair‑value band ¥0.3500 – ¥1.52 · the ¥2.40 price screens above the ¥0.8200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co (688538) currently trades at ¥2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8200, implying the stock looks roughly 65.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co generated revenue of 5.5B CNY at a net margin of -35.1%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.6%. Net debt stands at 13.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3500 (bear case) to ¥1.52 (bull case); at ¥2.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -66%, 688538 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6500 ¥1.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5500 ¥0.6800 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 ¥0.6300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6500 ¥1.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5500 ¥0.6800 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 ¥0.6300 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥0.5500) versus Asset-Based (¥0.4200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin -35.1%
Return on equity -22.6%
Free cash flow −1.2B CNY FY2025
Operating margin -23.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1300
Net debt 13.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells high-resolution small and medium-sized active-matrix organic light-emitting diode (AMOLED) semiconductor display panels in China and internationally.

Full company description

Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells high-resolution small and medium-sized active-matrix organic light-emitting diode (AMOLED) semiconductor display panels in China and internationally. It offers AMOLED semiconductor display panel products for automotive, aviation, desktop, smart home, industrial control, and medical displays. The company's products are used in consumer electronic products, including smartphones, smart wearables, tablets/notebooks, and laptops. Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co reported revenue of ¥5.5B in FY2025 versus ¥4.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+31.5%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 ¥4.0B
FY22 ¥4.2B
FY23 ¥3.0B
FY24 ¥5.0B
FY25 ¥5.5B
Net income
FY21 −¥945M
FY22 −¥1.6B
FY23 −¥3.2B
FY24 −¥2.5B
FY25 −¥2.0B

688538 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688538

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -35% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 28.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 6 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 16 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co (688538) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8200 versus a price of ¥2.40, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688538?
Our model-based fair value for Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co is ¥0.8200 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.40.
What is the quality score of 688538?
Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co (688538)?
Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688538?
The net profit margin of Everdisplay Optronics (Shanghai) Co is about -35.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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