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Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (688553) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.7B CNY

SH Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 688553 · SHG
Price¥11.96
Fair Value¥3.38
Upside-71.7%
Quality53/100
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Risks

!Trades 254% ABOVE our fair value of ¥3.38
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
!negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.1 %/yr)
Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.12% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.23 – ¥3.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +18.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 254% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥3.23 to ¥3.53), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.60 ¥6.30 Fair Value ¥3.38 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range ¥6.30 – ¥24.60 · fair‑value band ¥3.23 – ¥3.53 · the ¥11.96 price screens above the ¥3.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (688553) currently trades at ¥11.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.38, implying the stock looks roughly 71.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.23 (bear case) to ¥3.53 (bull case); at ¥11.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -72%, 688553 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥2.79 ¥5.57 ¥8.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.79 ¥4.81 ¥5.88 61
EV/EBITDA ¥4.28 ¥4.43 ¥4.58 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.79 ¥5.57 ¥8.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.79 ¥4.81 ¥5.88 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥4.28 ¥4.43 ¥4.58 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.00 ¥4.02 ¥6.00 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥4.81) versus Asset-Based (¥4.02). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 398.7
P/S ratio 7.46 TTM
Dividend yield 1.1%
Net margin 2.2% TTM
Return on equity 0.5% TTM
Return on assets 0.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 15.2% TTM
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.0B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.6% 3y avg -12.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -66.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −14.8M CNY FY2025
Net cash 1.7B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. research and develops, produces, and sells anti-tumor injection in China and internationally.

Full company description

Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. research and develops, produces, and sells anti-tumor injection in China and internationally. The company offers injection drug products, such as pemetrexed disodium, methrotraxate, docetaxel, azacitidine, oxaliplatin, cyclophosphamide, irinotecan hydrochloride, paclitaxel, bendamustine hydrochloride, decitabine, palonosetron hydrochloride, plerixafor, levetiracetam concentrated solution, amifostine, levofolate calcium, thiotepa, fulvestrant, and milrinone drugs. It also offers moroxydine sodium chloride, fluorouracil, sodium thiosulfate, acetylcysteine, nimodipine, nimodipine, dihydroxypropyltheophylline, cisatracurium besylate, cladribine, sodium carbosulfan, octreotide acetate, mesobamo, doxorubicin, leucovorin calcium, panosetron hydrochloride, famotidine, etoposide, polymyxin B sulfate, melphalan hydrochloride, thiotepa, teicoplanin, epirubicin hydrochloride, methotrexate, gemcitabine hydrochloride, cytarabine, voriconazole, roxatidine acetate hydrochloride, and bortezomib drugs. Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was incorportaed in 2010 and is headquartered in Neijiang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥998M in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥24.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
998M CNY
Latest YoY
−8.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+70.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.5B
FY23 ¥927M
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥998M
Net income
FY21 ¥446M
FY22 ¥249M
FY23 ¥140M
FY24 ¥325M
FY25 −¥24.2M

688553 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688553

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 633 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 398.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 43.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 3
FUTURE63 · sector 21
PAST2 · sector 22
HEALTH0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND23 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.00 €106.48 -24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $17.41 $11.29 -35%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 -52%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 178.55 CHF 55.07 -69%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 -49%
Haleon plc HLN $9.80 $7.62 -22%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.74 $15.37 -58%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 72.64 CHF 48.68 -33%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $73.54 $104.88 +43%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$33.50 HK$16.14 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (688553) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.38 versus a price of ¥11.96, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688553?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is ¥3.38 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.96.
What is the quality score of 688553?
Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (688553)?
Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688553?
The net profit margin of Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sichuan Huiyu Pharmaceutical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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