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BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co (688557) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY

BI BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co 688557 · SHG
Price¥20.13
Fair Value¥20.22
Upside+0.5%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.60% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.69 – ¥24.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥21.67 to ¥20.22 (−6.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥15.69 (bear) to ¥24.74 (bull), base ¥20.22. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.52 ¥14.60 Fair Value ¥20.22 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.60 – ¥42.52 · fair‑value band ¥15.69 – ¥24.74 · the ¥20.13 price screens below the ¥20.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co (688557) currently trades at ¥20.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.22, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 218M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.69 (bear case) to ¥24.74 (bull case); at ¥20.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 0%, 688557 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥27.28 ¥47.12 ¥85.95 80
Residual Income ¥10.22 ¥11.16 ¥15.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.43 ¥31.77 ¥56.96 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥28.89 ¥43.19 ¥87.75 38
Owner Earnings ¥21.08 ¥43.79 ¥89.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥18.26 ¥28.05 ¥48.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥20.00 ¥31.58 ¥54.21 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥23.02 ¥46.24 ¥77.52 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥21.25 ¥39.56 ¥49.91 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.95 ¥43.23 ¥77.03 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥25.10 ¥49.58 ¥88.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.62 ¥53.17 ¥74.61 54
Lynch FV ¥20.39 ¥29.13 ¥37.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥20.39 ¥29.13 ¥37.87 46
EPV ¥11.81 ¥13.30 ¥14.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.88 ¥5.75 ¥8.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.88 ¥4.97 ¥6.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥17.66 ¥23.54 ¥29.43 63
P/S Multiple ¥14.29 ¥19.06 ¥23.82 58
P/B Multiple ¥14.29 ¥19.06 ¥23.82 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.07 ¥21.95 ¥26.84 53
EV/EBITDA ¥15.98 ¥20.50 ¥25.02 54
EV/Revenue ¥12.87 ¥17.35 ¥21.84 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.01 ¥8.06 ¥12.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥27.28 ¥47.12 ¥85.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.43 ¥31.77 ¥56.96 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.22 ¥11.16 ¥15.03 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.81 ¥15.12 ¥18.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥25.92 ¥37.03 ¥48.14 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥43.19) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow 171M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.4
More key figures
Operating margin -3.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.08
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +50.0%
Net cash 218M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics system solution provider in China. The company provides consulting and planning, software engineering, equipment manufacturing, system integration, and Robot as a Service solutions, as well as cloud computing, and quality control services.

Full company description

BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics system solution provider in China. The company provides consulting and planning, software engineering, equipment manufacturing, system integration, and Robot as a Service solutions, as well as cloud computing, and quality control services. It also offers logistics robots, including stacker cranes, multi-shuttles, AGVs and AMRs, aerial shuttles, picking and sorting robots, packaging machines, depalletizer and palletizer robots, loading and unloading robots, high-speed lifts, and convey sorters, as well as smart solutions. In addition, the company provides artificial intelligence, such as SLAM navigation, AGV monitoring and simulation integration, petri net model depalletizing and palletizing algorithm, pattern recognition algorithm, high-order S-curve motion control, intelligent shape detection algorithm, micro-servo claw control, dynamic and flexible storage spot algorithm, intelligent inbound dispatching, order distribution algorithm, buffer pre-sorting algorithm, and distribution route optimization algorithm. Further, it offers digital twins, a logistics platform that integrates dynamic modeling, virtual simulation, offline debugging, 3D monitoring, and intelligent optimization. Its products are used in various industries, such as E-commerce fast moving consumer goods, pharma and healthcare, cold chain, automotive, and chemical, etc. The company also exports its products to China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Canada, Spain, Mexico, Hungary, Brazil, Thailand. BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥604M in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥115M in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+25.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.4%
Revenue +25.8%/yr
FY21 ¥604M
FY22 ¥915M
FY23 ¥976M
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income +9.4%/yr
FY21 ¥80.5M
FY22 ¥90.5M
FY23 ¥110M
FY24 ¥112M
FY25 ¥115M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688557

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 806 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +0% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.91× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 26.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 34 · sector 0
FUTURE 80 · sector 23
PAST 37 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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Frequently asked questions

Is BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co (688557) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.22 versus a price of ¥20.13, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 688557?
Our model-based fair value for BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co is ¥20.22 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥20.13.
What is the quality score of 688557?
BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co (688557)?
BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688557?
The net profit margin of BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co pay a dividend?
BlueSword Intelligent Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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