Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A stock ¥3.56, price ¥7.49, that is 52.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.33 – ¥20.26 · fair‑value band ¥2.54 – ¥4.83 · the ¥7.49 price screens above the ¥3.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Unionman Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and service of intelligent terminals and communication modules, and industry application solutions in China and internationally.
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The company offers domestic multimedia information terminals, smart home network communication equipment, internet of things communication modules, optical communication modules, and smart security equipment and related software systems and platforms.
It also provides set-top box, broadband products, IoT communication modules, optical communication modules, and IP cameras. Unionman Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Huizhou, China.
Stock analysis
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) currently trades at ¥7.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.56, 52% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥3.70 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥7.49 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.7700, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥2.54 (bear) to ¥4.83 (bull), the price of ¥7.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 2.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −210M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.8B CNY (≈ $566M) Small · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1000 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −52%, 688609 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥2.54Fair Value ¥3.56Bull¥4.83
Price ¥7.49 · Downside -52.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.4% (2020) → −10.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.7% a year for the price.
Compare Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−52.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−6.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)12.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.90× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.34× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)22.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA35.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)67· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688609
Frequently asked questions
Is Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.56 versus a price of ¥7.49, about 52% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688609?
Our model-based fair value for Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥3.56 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.49.
What is the quality score of 688609?
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.56 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.54, optimistic scenario ¥4.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.56, about 52% lower versus a price of ¥7.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.54, optimistic scenario ¥4.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A has a dividend yield of 0.7%.
What growth is priced into Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688609 use?
Our models discount Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A that is +18.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (+18.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.55 %: that much free cash flow Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥3.56 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥7.49. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 688609 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.49, fair value ¥3.56, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688609?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.56). For Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥3.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 3.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.49; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688609?
Our models span a range for Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥2.54, base ¥3.56, optimistic ¥4.83 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥7.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Balance-sheet figures for Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −5.5%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688609 from its 52-week high?
Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥7.49, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥13.34 and 2% above the low of ¥7.35 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥7.49, calculated fair value ¥3.56 (−52%), Quality Score 36/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688609 calculated?
We run Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.56 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥7.49. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.56, about 52% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥2.54 to ¥4.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The market capitalisation of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.8B CNY (≈ $566M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Earnings per share at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The dividend yield of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The net margin of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is −1.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
The operating margin of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Revenue at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609)?
Earnings per share at Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +168% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A (688609) carry?
The net debt of Unionman Technology Co. Ltd. A is 648M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026