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3onedata Co (688618) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

3C 3onedata Co 688618 · SHG
Price¥29.09
Fair Value¥11.95
Upside-58.9%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.96 – ¥14.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.64 to ¥11.95 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥74.68 ¥17.04 Fair Value ¥11.95 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥17.04 – ¥74.68 · fair‑value band ¥8.96 – ¥14.94 · the ¥29.09 price screens above the ¥11.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

3onedata Co (688618) currently trades at ¥29.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.95, implying the stock looks roughly 58.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 3onedata Co generated revenue of 346M CNY at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 257M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.96 (bear case) to ¥14.94 (bull case); at ¥29.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -59%, 688618 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.62 ¥9.49 ¥14.34 80
Residual Income ¥5.77 ¥5.75 ¥5.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.17 ¥8.61 ¥11.93 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.70 ¥9.91 ¥15.92 38
Owner Earnings ¥7.11 ¥10.80 ¥17.37 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.17 ¥8.69 ¥12.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.39 ¥11.33 ¥16.46 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥7.39 ¥11.33 ¥16.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.22 ¥8.70 ¥12.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.12 ¥10.64 ¥16.35 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.12 ¥10.64 ¥15.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.26 ¥12.22 ¥16.93 54
Lynch FV ¥3.39 ¥4.84 ¥6.29 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.39 ¥4.84 ¥6.29 46
EPV ¥5.62 ¥6.02 ¥6.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.40 ¥2.79 ¥4.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.40 ¥2.41 ¥2.95 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.98 ¥6.64 ¥8.30 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.23 ¥5.64 ¥7.05 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.23 ¥5.64 ¥7.05 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.29 ¥8.70 ¥10.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.02 ¥9.68 ¥11.34 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.91 ¥7.13 ¥8.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.89 ¥5.21 ¥7.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.62 ¥9.49 ¥14.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.17 ¥8.61 ¥11.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.77 ¥5.75 ¥5.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.62 ¥6.02 ¥6.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.84 ¥6.91 ¥8.98 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.64) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 346M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.9%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow 30.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 124.3
More key figures
Operating margin -1.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) +136%
Net cash 257M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

3onedata Co., Ltd. provides industrial communication solution and services in China and internationally. The company offers industrial ethernet and PoE switches; media converters; rail, automation, and power specific devices; WiFi and cellular industrial wireless products; device networking servers and modules; protocol and interface converters; and network …

Full company description

3onedata Co., Ltd. provides industrial communication solution and services in China and internationally. The company offers industrial ethernet and PoE switches; media converters; rail, automation, and power specific devices; WiFi and cellular industrial wireless products; device networking servers and modules; protocol and interface converters; and network management software, as well as device config, virtual COM creating, and network debugging tools. It also provides automation solutions for machine building, automotive, and food and beverage industries; transportation solutions for railway, expressway, and habor and airport industries; security solutions for smart city, tunnel, and outdoor video surveillance industries; and renewable energy solutions. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3onedata Co reported revenue of ¥359M in FY2025 versus ¥254M in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥36.6M in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
359M CNY
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+15.6%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 ¥254M
FY22 ¥336M
FY23 ¥439M
FY24 ¥357M
FY25 ¥359M
Net income −11.8%/yr
FY21 ¥60.4M
FY22 ¥96.1M
FY23 ¥109M
FY24 ¥32.8M
FY25 ¥36.6M

688618 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "3onedata Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688618

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 290 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 124.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 64.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 13 · sector 15
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3onedata Co (688618) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.95 versus a price of ¥29.09, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688618?
Our model-based fair value for 3onedata Co is ¥11.95 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.09.
What is the quality score of 688618?
3onedata Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 3onedata Co (688618)?
3onedata Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 346M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688618?
The net profit margin of 3onedata Co is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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