3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A ¥16.74, price ¥30.00, upside -44.2%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.95 – ¥74.29 · fair‑value band ¥12.26 – ¥22.48 · the ¥30.00 price screens above the ¥16.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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3onedata Co., Ltd. provides industrial communication solution and services in China and internationally.
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3onedata Co., Ltd. provides industrial communication solution and services in China and internationally. The company offers industrial ethernet and PoE switches; media converters; rail, automation, and power specific devices; WiFi and cellular industrial wireless products; device networking servers and modules; protocol and interface converters; and network management software, as well as device config, virtual COM creating, and network debugging tools. It also provides automation solutions for machine building, automotive, and food and beverage industries; transportation solutions for railway, expressway, and habor and airport industries; security solutions for smart city, tunnel, and outdoor video surveillance industries; and renewable energy solutions. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) currently trades at ¥30.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.74, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥9.57 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥30.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.04, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥12.26 (bear) to ¥22.48 (bull), the price of ¥30.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
3onedata Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 359M CNY in FY2025 versus 254M CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 36.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $496M) · P/E ratio 120.0 · P/S ratio 12.2 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 10.2% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −44%, 688618 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥12.26Fair Value ¥16.74Bull ¥22.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0658 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 10%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.7%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 311 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Above median
Fair Value upside−44% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)120.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)9.62× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF16.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)11· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "3onedata Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688618
Frequently asked questions
Is 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.74 versus a price of ¥30.00, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688618?
Our model-based fair value for 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is ¥16.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥30.00.
What is the quality score of 688618?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥16.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.26, optimistic scenario ¥22.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 3onedata Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥16.74, about −44% upside versus a price of ¥30.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.26, optimistic scenario ¥22.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 346M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does 3onedata Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 3onedata Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +44.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688618 use?
Our models discount 3onedata Co. Ltd. A at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For 3onedata Co. Ltd. A that is +44.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies +44.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (+44.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.93 %: that much free cash flow 3onedata Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 3onedata Co. Ltd. A it is ¥16.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥30.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 3onedata Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688618 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥30.00, fair value ¥16.74, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688618?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥30.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥16.74). For 3onedata Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥13.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 3onedata Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values 3onedata Co. Ltd. A at about 3.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥30.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥16.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688618?
Our models span a range for 3onedata Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥12.26, base ¥16.74, optimistic ¥22.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥30.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688618?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 120.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥16.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.9, P/S 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Balance-sheet figures for 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688618 from its 52-week high?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥30.00, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥46.56 and 35% above the low of ¥22.17 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥16.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 3onedata Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 3onedata Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥30.00, calculated fair value ¥16.74 (−44%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688618 calculated?
We run 3onedata Co. Ltd. A through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥16.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. 3onedata Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥30.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥16.74, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 3onedata Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥12.26 to ¥22.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The market capitalisation of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 3.3B CNY (≈ $496M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The price-to-sales ratio of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 12.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Earnings per share at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 120.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The dividend yield of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 0.5% (payout 64.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The net margin of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 10.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The return on equity (ROE) of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
The operating margin of 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Revenue at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A is growing −14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618)?
Earnings per share at 3onedata Co. Ltd. A are growing +136% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does 3onedata Co. Ltd. A (688618) hold?
3onedata Co. Ltd. A holds more cash than debt, 257M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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