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Honor Seiki Co (7709) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.9B TWD

HS Honor Seiki Co 7709 · TWO
Price73.50 TWD
Fair Value38.18 TWD
Upside-48.1%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.89% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range 28.56 TWD – 47.81 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (47.81 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

131.80 TWD 35.78 TWD Fair Value 38.18 TWD Jan 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range 35.78 TWD – 131.80 TWD · fair‑value band 28.56 TWD – 47.81 TWD · the 73.50 TWD price screens above the 38.18 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Honor Seiki Co (7709) currently trades at 73.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.18 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Honor Seiki Co generated revenue of 1.0B TWD at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at 14.3M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 28.56 TWD (bear case) to 47.81 TWD (bull case); at 73.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -48%, 7709 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 76.81 TWD 96.91 TWD 130.20 TWD 80
Residual Income 33.18 TWD 33.77 TWD 32.92 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 53.49 TWD 66.19 TWD 82.32 TWD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 74.40 TWD 95.26 TWD 132.70 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 41.78 TWD 50.70 TWD 66.72 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 53.49 TWD 64.81 TWD 81.17 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 58.47 TWD 73.43 TWD 93.26 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 59.87 TWD 75.86 TWD 95.08 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 60.96 TWD 70.01 TWD 79.22 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 64.52 TWD 75.22 TWD 86.16 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 65.35 TWD 76.69 TWD 87.20 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 16.57 TWD 20.26 TWD 22.79 TWD 54
EPV 36.50 TWD 39.53 TWD 42.13 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 38.39 TWD 51.18 TWD 63.98 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 31.07 TWD 41.43 TWD 51.79 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 31.07 TWD 41.43 TWD 51.79 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 51.34 TWD 62.66 TWD 73.98 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 53.02 TWD 64.90 TWD 76.79 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 41.62 TWD 52.01 TWD 62.39 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 21.59 TWD 28.93 TWD 43.18 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 76.81 TWD 96.91 TWD 130.20 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 53.49 TWD 66.19 TWD 82.32 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 33.18 TWD 33.77 TWD 32.92 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 36.50 TWD 39.53 TWD 42.13 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 27.10 TWD 38.72 TWD 50.34 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (73.43 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (20.26 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 241M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 46.5
More key figures
Operating margin 16.4%
EPS (TTM) 2.45 TWD
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net debt 14.3M TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Honor Seiki Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, trading, design and installation of various hardware and mechanical products in Taiwan. The company offers CNC Vertical Lathe; CNC Vertical Turning Center; CNC Vertical Grinding Machine; CNC Planar Turning/Milling/Grinding Center; and CNC Special Purpose Machines.

Full company description

Honor Seiki Co., Ltd. engages in manufacturing, trading, design and installation of various hardware and mechanical products in Taiwan. The company offers CNC Vertical Lathe; CNC Vertical Turning Center; CNC Vertical Grinding Machine; CNC Planar Turning/Milling/Grinding Center; and CNC Special Purpose Machines. It serves aerospace, wind, automobile, energy, railway, construction/architecture, motor, pump and valve, bearing, and other industries. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Honor Seiki Co reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 95.3M TWD in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B TWD
Latest YoY
−31.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Revenue −5.7%/yr
FY21 1.3B TWD
FY22 1.0B TWD
FY23 1.3B TWD
FY24 1.5B TWD
FY25 1.0B TWD
Net income +10.5%/yr
FY21 64.0M TWD
FY22 124M TWD
FY23 141M TWD
FY24 179M TWD
FY25 95.3M TWD

7709 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
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Honor Seiki Co · Fair Value
38.18 TWD −48%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Honor Seiki Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7709

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 24 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Honor Seiki Co (7709) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.18 TWD versus a price of 73.50 TWD, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7709?
Our model-based fair value for Honor Seiki Co is 38.18 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 73.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 7709?
Honor Seiki Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Honor Seiki Co (7709)?
Honor Seiki Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 7709?
The net profit margin of Honor Seiki Co is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Honor Seiki Co pay a dividend?
Honor Seiki Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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