Contrel Technology Co (8064) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 20.5B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −17.9% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (30.40 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.34 TWD – 171.24 TWD · fair‑value band 18.24 TWD – 30.40 TWD · the 103.00 TWD price screens above the 24.32 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Contrel Technology Co (8064) currently trades at 103.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 24.32 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 76.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Contrel Technology Co generated revenue of 3.0B TWD at a net margin of 12.9%. Revenue grew 29.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 18.24 TWD (bear case) to 30.40 TWD (bull case); at 103.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -76%, 8064 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (41.84 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (6.93 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Contrel Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells LCD equipment in Taiwan and China. The company offers mini LED test, repair, laser drilling, tile laminating equipment, collage equipment, mass transfer, laser trimming, and metal repair; sealant ultraviolent, nano protusion, photo alignment ultraviolet, ultrasonic dry cleaning …
Full company description
Contrel Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells LCD equipment in Taiwan and China. The company offers mini LED test, repair, laser drilling, tile laminating equipment, collage equipment, mass transfer, laser trimming, and metal repair; sealant ultraviolent, nano protusion, photo alignment ultraviolet, ultrasonic dry cleaning equipment; macro and exterior inspection, burr check, electric test, PAD inspection, light on test, and demura inspection; pack/unpack, RTP/RTS and TFT/CF/LCD factory conveyance. It also provides semiconductor automation solutions, such as EFEM system, laser marking process automation, molding lifter, over and plasma process automation, SMT lifter, I-Box automatic inspection system, OHCV and OHRGV automated handling, shuttle, OHS, foup stocker, magazine and mini stocker, N2 wafer stocker, tray stocker, and vertical carousel; driver IC six side inspection equipment, 3D Camera, AI FVI high-speed inspection machine, AI OCR system, die bonding inspection measurement system, high precision defect inspection machine, and PLP RDL OM automatic optical measuring machine; cluster sputter system, plasma etching equipment, high precision defect inspection machine, PLP RDL OM automatic optical measuring machine, semiconductor glass laser cutting, IC bonding equipment, TGV laser modification equipment, PLP RDL 3D measuring machine, plasma cleaning equipment, and semiconductor laser debond and TRM; and semiconductor laser TRM, circuit repair, glass laser cutter, and laser debond, as well as parts laser clean. In addition, it offers TFT Array and circuit repair, laser shorting ring cut, bright point repair system, LCD cell repair, glass laser cutting, and TGV laser modification equipment; and microwave plasma desmear and horizontal continuous metal sputtering equipment, plasma clean, e-beam evaporator, optical sputter, and in line sputter system. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Contrel Technology Co reported revenue of 2.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 225M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.5%/yr from FY2021.
8064 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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