Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Contrel Technology Co Ltd TWD 34.05, price TWD 133, upside -74.4%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.34 TWD – 171.24 TWD · fair‑value band 25.54 TWD – 41.91 TWD · the 133.00 TWD price screens above the 34.05 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Contrel Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells LCD equipment in Taiwan and China.
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Contrel Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells LCD equipment in Taiwan and China. The company offers mini LED test, repair, laser drilling, tile laminating equipment, collage equipment, mass transfer, laser trimming, and metal repair; sealant ultraviolent, nano protusion, photo alignment ultraviolet, ultrasonic dry cleaning equipment; macro and exterior inspection, burr check, electric test, PAD inspection, light on test, and demura inspection; pack/unpack, RTP/RTS and TFT/CF/LCD factory conveyance. It also provides semiconductor automation solutions, such as EFEM system, laser marking process automation, molding lifter, over and plasma process automation, SMT lifter, I-Box automatic inspection system, OHCV and OHRGV automated handling, shuttle, OHS, foup stocker, magazine and mini stocker, N2 wafer stocker, tray stocker, and vertical carousel; driver IC six side inspection equipment, 3D Camera, AI FVI high-speed inspection machine, AI OCR system, die bonding inspection measurement system, high precision defect inspection machine, and PLP RDL OM automatic optical measuring machine; cluster sputter system, plasma etching equipment, high precision defect inspection machine, PLP RDL OM automatic optical measuring machine, semiconductor glass laser cutting, IC bonding equipment, TGV laser modification equipment, PLP RDL 3D measuring machine, plasma cleaning equipment, and semiconductor laser debond and TRM; and semiconductor laser TRM, circuit repair, glass laser cutter, and laser debond, as well as parts laser clean. In addition, it offers TFT Array and circuit repair, laser shorting ring cut, bright point repair system, LCD cell repair, glass laser cutting, and TGV laser modification equipment; and microwave plasma desmear and horizontal continuous metal sputtering equipment, plasma clean, e-beam evaporator, optical sputter, and in line sputter system. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) currently trades at 133.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 290.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 48.02 TWD per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 133.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.93 TWD, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 25.54 TWD (bear) to 41.91 TWD (bull), the price of 133.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Contrel Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 225M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 21.9B TWD (≈ $688M) · P/E ratio 97.8 · P/S ratio 7.66 · EPS (TTM) 1.36 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 260% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −74%, 8064 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 25.54 TWDFair Value 34.05 TWDBull 41.91 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1902 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.0%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.9% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 216 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Contrel Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8064
Frequently asked questions
Is Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34.05 TWD versus a price of 133.00 TWD, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8064?
Our model-based fair value for Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 34.05 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 133.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8064?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 34.05 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 25.54 TWD, optimistic scenario 41.91 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Contrel Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 34.05 TWD, about −74% upside versus a price of 133.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 25.54 TWD, optimistic scenario 41.91 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Contrel Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Contrel Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8064 use?
Our models discount Contrel Technology Co Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Contrel Technology Co Ltd that is +18.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Contrel Technology Co Ltd grew -5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +18.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Contrel Technology Co Ltd (+18.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.70 %: that much free cash flow Contrel Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Contrel Technology Co Ltd it is 34.05 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 133.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Contrel Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 8064 trades above its calculated fair value: price 133.00 TWD, fair value 34.05 TWD, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8064?
No. The price is what the market pays today (133.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (34.05 TWD). For Contrel Technology Co Ltd the two are 98.95 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Contrel Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Contrel Technology Co Ltd at about 21.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 133.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 34.05 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8064?
Our models span a range for Contrel Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 25.54 TWD, base 34.05 TWD, optimistic 41.91 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 133.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8064?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 97.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 34.05 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.8, P/S 7.2, EV/EBITDA 39.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Balance-sheet figures for Contrel Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 11.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8064 from its 52-week high?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd trades at 133.00 TWD, about 22% below its 52-week high of 171.24 TWD and 260% above the low of 36.98 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 34.05 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Contrel Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Contrel Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 133.00 TWD, calculated fair value 34.05 TWD (−74%), Quality Score 75/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8064 calculated?
We run Contrel Technology Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 34.05 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Contrel Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 133.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 34.05 TWD, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Contrel Technology Co Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.91 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Contrel Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The market capitalisation of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 21.9B TWD (≈ $688M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 7.66 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Earnings per share at Contrel Technology Co Ltd are 1.36 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 97.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The dividend yield of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 80.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The net margin of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 7.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
The operating margin of Contrel Technology Co Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Revenue at Contrel Technology Co Ltd is growing +29.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064)?
Earnings per share at Contrel Technology Co Ltd are growing +481% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Contrel Technology Co Ltd (8064) hold?
Contrel Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.2B TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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