Tencent Holdings (80700) Fair Value & Analysis
HK · Market cap HK$4.6T
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +8.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$357.80 – HK$615.82 · fair‑value band HK$221.91 – HK$816.09 · the HK$410.00 price screens above the HK$302.86 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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Tencent Holdings (80700) currently trades at HK$410.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$302.86, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tencent Holdings generated revenue of HK$768B at a net margin of 30.6%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.5%. Net debt stands at HK$258B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$221.91 (bear case) to HK$816.09 (bull case); at HK$410.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Tencent Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides value-added services, marketing services, fintech, and business services in Mainland China and internationally. The company's consumers business includes communications and social services, such as instant messaging and social networks; digital content, including online games, videos, live streaming, news, music, and literature; fintech services, which include mobile payment, wealth management, consumer loans, and securities trading; and various tools comprising network security management, browsing, navigation, application management, email, etc. Its enterprise business comprises marketing solutions, which offer digital tools, including user insight, creative management, placement strategy, and digital assets management; and cloud services, such as cloud computing, big data analytics, artificial intelligence, Internet of Things, and security and other technologies for financial services, education, healthcare, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tencent Holdings reported revenue of HK$752B in FY2025 versus HK$560B in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$225B in FY2025, compounding +0.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- DeepSeek begins IPO preparations with potential 2026 filing, Bloomberg reports
- Small Amount of Nvidia AI Chips Shipped to China With US License
- Zhipu founder backs open-source AI over restricted frontier models
- Tencent (SEHK:700) Stock Seems Fairly Priced After A Big AI Supply Deal
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.